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Full time
Serie B (Italy)
·
Cesena
Cesena
12th · 12 pts·LDLWD
vs
—
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
19th · 8 pts·LLDLW
The story

Diamanti Debuts as Cesena Target Title Race Momentum

Cesena kick off their title pursuit at the Orogel Stadium, while Sampdoria arrive desperate for points to climb out of the early relegation zone.

Match news & current form

This fixture marks a significant turning point for Cesena as Alino Diamanti makes his league debut on the home bench. Despite a winless run of six matches in Serie B and a recent 3-0 defeat to Sassuolo in the Coppa Italia, 'I Bianconeri' enjoyed an immaculate pre-season with four wins. Currently sitting 3rd and firmly in the title race, the home side is expected to deploy an attacking 4-3-3 system to reignite their campaign.

Sampdoria travel to Cesena sitting 14th and inside the relegation zone. While they have struggled for consistency, they enter this clash in better recent form than the hosts, having picked up 14 points from their last 10 outings. However, a lack of clinical finishing has plagued them, with their last three league matches all finishing with under 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head history

Cesena hold the recent upper hand in this fixture, having claimed back-to-back 2-1 victories over Sampdoria at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Across the last three meetings between the sides, Cesena have secured two wins to Sampdoria’s one.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Alino Diamanti takes charge of his first league game for Cesena.
  • Cesena have won their last two consecutive matches against Sampdoria.
  • Sampdoria have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last three Serie B fixtures.
  • Cesena are looking for their first league win in seven attempts.
  • Cesena's pre-season featured a five-match unbeaten run (W4, D1) prior to their cup exit.
Key players & missing men

The spotlight is on Cesena’s marquee star Shpendi, who leads a youthful front three supported by Fiori and Druiventak. In goal, Siano is set to deputise for the ruled-out Jonathan Klinsmann, while captain Ciofi anchors the defense. Sampdoria have no new absences reported, allowing them to field a full-strength side as they look to break their low-scoring trend.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Cesena1.8
–
0.9Sampdoria
Season average total: 2.72 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Cesena winDrawSampdoria win
Market call
Double chance : Cesena or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Cesena
1366
Sampdoria
1391

Sampdoria are the stronger side — 25 rating points clear of Cesena.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CesenaCesenaSampdoriaSampdoria
1.10Goals scored / game1.00
1.40Goals conceded / game1.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Cesena 10 games, Sampdoria 10 games.

CesenaCesenaSampdoriaSampdoria
0%Games with a clean sheet10%
20%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Cesena
1–1
Sampdoria
Cesena
0–0
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1–2
Cesena
Sampdoria
1–2
Cesena
Cesena
3–5
Sampdoria
Form check

Their recent form.

Cesena
Cesena
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
SudtirolvCesena
1–1
D
CesenavEmpoli
2–1
W
ModenavCesena
3–0
L
CesenavAvellino
1–1
D
BeneventovCesena
2–0
L
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
SampdoriavVirtus Entella
2–0
W
AscolivSampdoria
2–0
L
SudtirolvSampdoria
1–1
D
SampdoriavArezzo
1–2
L
AvellinovSampdoria
4–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
10
8
2
0
+12
26
2
ModenaModena
10
6
2
2
+8
20
3
AscoliAscoli
10
5
4
1
+10
19
4
MantovaMantova
10
5
3
2
+4
18
5
AvellinoAvellino
10
4
3
3
+5
15
6
BeneventoBenevento
10
4
3
3
+4
15
7
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
10
4
3
3
+6
15
8
PisaPisa
10
4
3
3
+3
15
9
PadovaPadova
10
4
2
4
-1
14
10
SudtirolSudtirol
10
3
5
2
+1
14
11
CremoneseCremonese
10
3
3
4
-1
12
12
CesenaCesena
10
2
6
2
-3
12
13
ArezzoArezzo
10
3
2
5
-10
11
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
10
2
4
4
-1
10
15
CarrareseCarrarese
10
3
1
6
-4
10
16
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
10
3
4
3
+0
9
17
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
10
2
3
5
-7
9
18
EmpoliEmpoli
10
2
2
6
-7
8
19
SampdoriaSampdoria
10
2
2
6
-8
8
20
CatanzaroCatanzaro
10
1
3
6
-11
6