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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
15th · 26 pts·WLLDL
vs
—
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2nd · 59 pts·WWWLD
The story

Miami Title Charge Faces Saputo Test Without Messi

Inter Miami travel to Quebec looking to sustain their title challenge while CF Montreal aim to snap a five-match winless run.

Match news & current form

CF Montreal enter this fixture in a difficult slump, having failed to win any of their last five matches (D3, L2). Their return to MLS action was marked by a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Nashville SC, and they now face the daunting task of hosting the league’s second-placed side. Despite the poor results, they have shown flashes of attacking potency, notably in a chaotic 4-4 draw with DC United.

Inter Miami are the form team in the league, arriving on the back of five consecutive victories. Currently sitting 2nd on 34 points, they remain firmly in the title hunt, trailing the leaders by five points with 30 games still to play. Their recent outings have been high-scoring affairs, including a 3-2 win over Chicago Fire and a 6-4 thriller against Philadelphia Union.

Head-to-head history

History at Saputo Stadium is relatively balanced, with the last four meetings at the venue resulting in two wins for Miami, one for Montreal, and one draw. However, Montreal have proven they know how to breach the Miami defence, scoring in every head-to-head encounter since 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Inter Miami have won five consecutive MLS matches heading into this fixture.
  • Four of Inter Miami's last five away games have seen the home side score at least two goals.
  • Montreal have scored against Inter Miami in four straight head-to-head meetings.
  • Inter Miami have conceded 15 goals across their last five matches despite winning all of them.
Key players & missing men

Prince Owusu remains Montreal's primary attacking threat with 9 goals this season, while Luis Suarez continues to lead the line for Miami in the absence of Lionel Messi. The visitors are heavily depleted; both Messi and Rodrigo De Paul are unavailable until August due to a post-World Cup break. Miami are also missing Allende, Ayala, Falcon, and Lujan, while Montreal are without Carmona, Gillier, and Hidalgo.

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Our model prices every market we cover on CF Montreal vs Inter Miami and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
CF Montreal1.4
–
1.7Inter Miami
Season average total: 3.16 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
CF Montreal winDrawInter Miami win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Inter Miami
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CF MontrealCF MontrealInter MiamiInter Miami
1.12Goals scored / game2.34
2.03Goals conceded / game1.72
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — CF Montreal 33 games, Inter Miami 32 games.

CF MontrealCF MontrealInter MiamiInter Miami
12%Games with a clean sheet19%
39%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Inter Miami
7–1
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
0–1
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
1–4
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
4–2
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
2–3
Inter Miami
Form check

Their recent form.

CF Montreal
CF Montreal
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
CF MontrealvNashville SC
0–2
L
Seattle SoundersvCF Montreal
1–1
D
CF MontrealvAtlanta United FC
0–3
L
Toronto FCvCF Montreal
2–1
L
CF MontrealvFC Cincinnati
3–1
W
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Inter MiamivFC Cincinnati
2–2
D
New York Red BullsvInter Miami
2–0
L
Atlanta United FCvInter Miami
1–3
W
Inter MiamivNew York City FC
2–0
W
Inter MiamivDC United
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
33
22
8
3
+44
74
2
Inter MiamiInter Miami
33
16
11
6
+21
59
3
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
33
18
4
11
+9
58
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
33
16
7
10
+11
55
5
CharlotteCharlotte
33
15
8
10
+15
53
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
33
13
8
12
+11
47
7
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
33
12
10
11
-6
46
8
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
33
13
5
15
+6
44
9
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
33
12
7
14
-16
43
10
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
33
11
6
16
-17
39
11
New York City FCNew York City FC
33
9
12
12
+3
39
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
33
9
12
12
-12
39
13
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
33
9
6
18
-14
33
14
DC UnitedDC United
33
7
12
14
-21
33
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
33
6
8
19
-30
26