Winlytics.AI
Full time
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
15th · 21 pts·LLLLL
vs
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
12th · 29 pts·DDWLL
The story

Canadian Classique resumes as Montreal and Toronto seek reset

Separated only by goal difference in the Eastern Conference, the 66th Canadian Classique offers both sides a chance to break out of the league's bottom tier after a lengthy mid-season hiatus.

Match news & current form

CF Montreal enter this clash 11th in the table on 14 points, currently four points adrift of the playoff line with a game in hand over their immediate rivals. Under interim manager Philippe Eullaffroy, the team has proven difficult to beat, losing only one of their last four MLS outings. They return to Saputo Stadium following a wild 4-4 draw against DC United, looking to avoid matching their longest winless streak of the season.

Toronto FC are in the midst of a collapse, suffering four consecutive losses across all competitions and failing to secure a point in their last eight regular-season matches. Robin Fraser’s side sits two places below Montreal and is coming off a 2-1 defeat to Chicago Fire. The Reds have struggled significantly on the road, losing three straight away fixtures as they struggle to climb out of the conference basement.

Head-to-head history

This is the first meeting of the 2026 regular season between the two rivals. Montreal held the upper hand in their most recent encounter, a 1-1 draw at BMO Field last August, and the last time these sides met at Saputo Stadium, they produced a seven-goal thriller.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Toronto FC could lose four consecutive domestic matches for the first time since March 2025.
  • CF Montreal have only lost one of their last four league games under interim boss Philippe Eullaffroy.
  • The Reds have dropped points in eight consecutive regular-season fixtures.
  • Toronto have not lost a match this season when scoring the opening goal on the road.
  • Three or more goals have been scored in four of Toronto's last five away league games.
Key players & missing men

Montreal will be without W. Carmona, B. Hidalgo, and P. Owusu for this derby. Toronto’s availability is even more strained, missing a core group including J. Osorio, N. Gomis, M. Cimermancic, L. Stefanovic, H. Wingo, and D. Kerr, leaving Robin Fraser with limited options to rotate his struggling squad.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on CF Montreal vs Toronto FC — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on CF Montreal vs Toronto FC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
CF Montreal1.5
1.1Toronto FC
Season average total: 2.56 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
CF Montreal winDrawToronto FC win
Market call
Double chance : CF Montreal or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CF MontrealCF MontrealToronto FCToronto FC
1.19Goals scored / game1.50
2.04Goals conceded / game1.88
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — CF Montreal 26 games, Toronto FC 26 games.

CF MontrealCF MontrealToronto FCToronto FC
15%Games with a clean sheet12%
38%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

CF Montreal
0–0
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
1–1
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
1–6
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
2–2
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
0–1
Toronto FC
Form check

Their recent form.

CF Montreal
CF Montreal
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 0D · 5L
CF MontrealvColumbus Crew
0–2
L
Colorado RapidsvCF Montreal
1–0
L
CF MontrealvCharlotte
1–2
L
Philadelphia UnionvCF Montreal
2–0
L
Inter MiamivCF Montreal
7–1
L
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
St. Louis CityvToronto FC
3–1
L
Orlando City SCvToronto FC
3–0
L
Toronto FCvNashville SC
2–1
W
Toronto FCvChicago Fire
4–4
D
Toronto FCvNew York City FC
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
26
17
6
3
+32
57
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
26
14
4
8
+12
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
25
12
9
4
+15
45
4
CharlotteCharlotte
26
12
7
7
+10
43
5
Chicago FireChicago Fire
25
11
6
8
+7
39
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
26
10
6
10
+8
36
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
26
10
4
12
-14
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
26
9
6
11
-14
33
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
25
8
9
8
-7
33
10
New York City FCNew York City FC
26
8
8
10
+5
32
11
DC UnitedDC United
25
6
11
8
-8
29
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
26
6
11
9
-10
29
13
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
26
7
5
14
-5
26
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
26
7
5
14
-13
26
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
26
5
6
15
-22
21