Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 17h
Liga MX (Mexico)
·
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
14th · 13 pts·WDLDL
vs
—
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
5th · 20 pts·WLDDW
The story

Pachuca host Cruz Azul seeking vital playoff ground

CF Pachuca must make their home advantage count to close a three-point gap to the playoff spots, while Cruz Azul aim to solidify their top-eight cushion at Estadio Hidalgo.

Match news & current form

CF Pachuca sit 14th on 13 points, three points and six places off the playoff places with six games remaining. The hosts have shown plenty of attacking power but lingering inconsistency, drawing 3-3 at home against Necaxa last time out after a 1-0 defeat at Santos Laguna and a 2-2 draw with Club Tijuana.

Cruz Azul occupy fifth place on 20 points, holding a four-point buffer inside the playoff positions with five matches left to play. They arrive after back-to-back 3-3 thrillers, having shared the points away to U.N.A.M. - Pumas following a six-goal draw against Toluca and a 4-3 victory over Club America earlier this month.

Head-to-head history

Recent clashes between these two have favoured the visitors on aggregate, though Pachuca won the most recent encounter 2-1 away in April 2026. Prior to that, Cruz Azul claimed a 1-0 win at Estadio Hidalgo in September 2025, won 2-1 on home turf in February 2025, and secured a high-scoring 4-2 away victory in September 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Both clubs shared the spoils in 3-3 draws in their most recent Liga MX outings.
  • Cruz Azul have scored seven goals and conceded seven across their last two league matches.
  • Pachuca have scored in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
  • Three of the last four meetings between these two sides have produced three or more goals.
Key players & missing men

Pachuca have no injury concerns, allowing leading marksman Jose Salomon Rondon Gimenez—who has already tallied 12 goals this season—to spearhead the attack alongside Oussama Idrissi and Alan Bautista. Cruz Azul also report a clean bill of health, with Gabriel Fernandez Leites leading the line, supported by Nicolas Ibanez and playmaker Jose Antonio Paradela, who has already registered five assists this campaign.

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Our model prices every market we cover on CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
CF Pachuca1.8
–
2.1Cruz Azul
Season average total: 3.90 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
CF Pachuca winDrawCruz Azul win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Cruz Azul
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CF PachucaCF PachucaCruz AzulCruz Azul
1.64Goals scored / game2.25
1.27Goals conceded / game1.75
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — CF Pachuca 11 games, Cruz Azul 12 games.

CF PachucaCF PachucaCruz AzulCruz Azul
27%Games with a clean sheet17%
18%Games they failed to score17%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Cruz Azul
1–2
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
0–1
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
2–1
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
2–4
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
0–1
CF Pachuca
Form check

Their recent form.

CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
MonterreyvCF Pachuca
2–1
L
CF PachucavNecaxa
3–3
D
Santos LagunavCF Pachuca
1–0
L
CF PachucavClub Tijuana
2–2
D
Atlante FCvCF Pachuca
0–3
W
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Cruz AzulvFC Juarez
5–0
W
U.N.A.M. - PumasvCruz Azul
3–3
D
Cruz AzulvToluca
3–3
D
MonterreyvCruz Azul
1–0
L
Cruz AzulvClub America
4–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Club AmericaClub America
11
7
3
1
+13
24
2
TolucaToluca
12
6
3
3
+10
21
3
AtlasAtlas
12
6
3
3
+1
21
4
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
12
5
5
2
+7
20
5
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
12
6
2
4
+6
20
6
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
11
6
2
3
+2
20
7
LeonLeon
12
5
3
4
+1
18
8
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
12
5
1
6
+1
16
9
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
11
4
4
3
+1
16
10
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
12
4
4
4
-1
16
11
PueblaPuebla
12
4
4
4
-1
16
12
MonterreyMonterrey
10
4
2
4
+2
14
13
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
12
3
5
4
-2
14
14
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
11
3
4
4
+4
13
15
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
12
3
4
5
-5
13
16
Atlante FCAtlante FC
12
2
5
5
-6
11
17
NecaxaNecaxa
12
2
3
7
-10
9
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
12
1
1
10
-23
4