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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
20th · 18 pts
vs
Bahia
Bahia
5th · 46 pts·WWWWL
The story

Chapecoense fight for survival as Bahia eye Libertadores spot

Bottom-placed Chapecoense have 19 games to save their season, while Bahia look to solidify their continental standing in the top six.

Match news & current form

Chapecoense enter this fixture rooted to the bottom of the table with just 10 points. Their momentum has stalled significantly following four consecutive defeats, including a recent 2-1 loss away to Coritiba and a heavy 4-0 thrashing at home by Flamengo. With nearly half the season remaining, the hosts are in urgent need of a turnaround to bridge the gap to safety.

Bahia sit 6th with 33 points but have become the league's draw specialists recently. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, though four of those ended in stalemates, including back-to-back 0-0 draws against Vasco da Gama and Fluminense. Their last taste of victory was actually against Chapecoense in the reverse fixture, a 2-0 win that remains their only maximum points haul in the last five outings.

Head-to-head history

Recent history favors the visitors, with Bahia securing a 2-0 victory when these sides met earlier this season. While Bahia have struggled to find wins on the road, Chapecoense's home form has been equally concerning, having lost their last four matches across all venues.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Chapecoense have lost four consecutive league matches heading into this fixture.
  • Bahia are currently on a five-match unbeaten run, though they have drawn four of those games.
  • Bahia have recorded back-to-back 0-0 draws in their most recent league outings.
  • Chapecoense have managed only one point from their last five fixtures (D1 L4).
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to have clean bills of health with no players reported as missing through injury or suspension. This allows Chapecoense to field their strongest available XI as they look to break their scoring drought at the Arena Condá.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Chapecoense-sc1.4
1.9Bahia
Season average total: 3.30 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Chapecoense-sc winDrawBahia win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Bahia
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scBahiaBahia
1.07Goals scored / game1.56
1.96Goals conceded / game1.22
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Chapecoense-sc 27 games, Bahia 27 games.

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scBahiaBahia
7%Games with a clean sheet30%
30%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Chapecoense-sc
3–3
Bahia
Bahia
2–0
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
3–1
Bahia
Bahia
0–1
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
3–0
Chapecoense-sc
Form check

Their recent form.

Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc — recent form not recorded.
Last 5

No recent matches recorded.

Bahia
Bahia
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Atletico ParanaensevBahia
2–1
L
BahiavRemo
2–1
W
RB BragantinovBahia
2–3
W
BahiavInternacional
3–2
W
VitoriavBahia
0–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18