Winlytics.AI
Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
20th · 18 pts
vs
Internacional
Internacional
18th · 28 pts
The story

Relegation zone battle intensifies at the Arena Condá

This 27th-round clash pits 20th-placed Chapecoense against 18th-placed Internacional as both sides fight to escape the bottom four with only 13 games remaining.

Match news & current form

Chapecoense sit bottom of the table on 17 points but enter this fixture with renewed hope after a gutsy 2-1 away win against Corinthians. The hosts have secured two victories in their last three outings, including a 1-0 home win over Sao Paulo, suggesting they are finding their feet at the Arena Condá just as the season enters its final third.

Internacional are 18th on 25 points and currently in a tailspin, having failed to win any of their last seven matches across all competitions. Following their recent elimination from the Copa do Brasil, Alan Patrick has described the current period as a 'hard blow' for the squad, who must now focus exclusively on climbing out of the relegation zone after a recent 2-3 home defeat to Santos.

Head-to-head history

Internacional won the reverse fixture 2-0 in March 2026, continuing a dominant recent trend where they have won four of the last five meetings. However, Chapecoense can look back to a 2-0 home victory in 2019 as proof they can frustrate the Porto Alegre side in Chapecó.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Internacional are winless in their last seven matches over the past 30 days, drawing four and losing three.
  • Chapecoense have failed to win a single match this season in which they conceded the opening goal (18 games).
  • Internacional have averaged nearly 18 shots per game over their last five outings despite their lack of wins.
  • Chapecoense have the worst defensive record in Serie A, conceding 50 goals in 25 matches.
Key players & missing men

Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior is the man in form for the hosts, netting three goals in his last four appearances. Internacional will rely on Alan Patrick, who has recorded a goal and two assists in his last five games, to dictate play. Chapecoense are without Bruno Tubarao and Joao Paulo, while Internacional travel without goalkeeper Sergio Rochet and several outfield options including Kayky and Matheus Bahia.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Chapecoense-sc1.4
1.6Internacional
Season average total: 3.02 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Chapecoense-sc winDrawInternacional win
Market call
Double chance : Chapecoense-sc or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scInternacionalInternacional
1.07Goals scored / game1.07
1.96Goals conceded / game1.29
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Chapecoense-sc 27 games, Internacional 28 games.

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scInternacionalInternacional
7%Games with a clean sheet21%
30%Games they failed to score32%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Chapecoense-sc
1–2
Internacional
Internacional
2–0
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
5–2
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
1–2
Internacional
Internacional
1–0
Chapecoense-SC
Form check

Their recent form.

Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc — recent form not recorded.
Last 5

No recent matches recorded.

Internacional
Internacional
Internacional — recent form not recorded.
Last 5

No recent matches recorded.

League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18