Bottom-placed Chapecoense have 18 games to erase a massive deficit, while São Paulo remain just five points clear of the drop zone in a tense battle for Serie A survival.
Chapecoense enter this fixture rooted to the foot of the table with just 11 points. They are winless in seven matches, though they showed significant fighting spirit in their last outing, a 3-3 draw against Bahia where they recovered from deficit despite having only 35% possession. Managerial pressure is mounting as they sit 20th, needing a drastic turnaround to bridge the gap to safety.
São Paulo are currently 13th and far from secure, holding 27 points with 18 games remaining. Dorival Junior’s side has struggled for momentum, recording no wins in their last five matches. Their last league game ended in a 1-1 draw against Coritiba, following a period where they were also knocked out of the cup by Juventude and are now balancing league survival with Copa Sudamericana commitments.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Chapecoense-sc 27 games, Sao Paulo 27 games.
No recent matches recorded.
Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.