Winlytics.AI
Full time
Pro League (Belgium)
·
Charleroi
Charleroi
4th · 18 pts·WWLWW
vs
—
OH Leuven
OH Leuven
15th · 4 pts·LLLDW
The story

Simons and Kohnen Seek Stability in Season Opener

Charleroi and OH Leuven kick off their Jupiler Pro League campaigns looking to translate pre-season goal-scoring form into early league points.

Match news & current form

Mario Kohnen enters his first full season as Charleroi coach with the explicit goal of moving past a disappointing 2025/26 campaign. Currently 7th on zero points with 34 games remaining, the hosts are looking to improve on a pre-season that ended with a narrow 3-2 defeat to Rayo Vallecano.

OH Leuven sit 3rd in the early standings and remain in the title race as the season begins. Manager Timmy Simons oversaw a chaotic pre-season finale, including a 3-6 loss to Lille and a 4-4 draw with Heerenveen, suggesting a side that is potent in attack but struggling for defensive cohesion.

Head-to-head history

OH Leuven have historically enjoyed their trips to the Stade du Pays de Charleroi, securing four victories in their last eight visits. Charleroi have managed only one win in that same period, with three matches ending in draws.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Charleroi have struggled at home recently, recording six defeats in their last 10 league matches at this venue.
  • OH Leuven are looking to snap a poor away run, having failed to win any of their previous five matches on the road.
  • Antoine Bernier is the man in form for the hosts, having netted four goals in his last ten Pro League appearances.
  • OH Leuven have consistently won the battle for set-pieces, covering the 3.5 corners line in two consecutive away fixtures.
Key players & missing men

OH Leuven are sweating over the fitness of midfielder Manuel Osifo, who is a major doubt for the season opener. Manager Timmy Simons may hand a debut to marquee signing Lukasz Lakomy to fill the void, while Dani van den Heuvel and Tobe Leysen are locked in a battle for the starting goalkeeper spot. Charleroi have no new injury concerns reported.

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We have published a signal on Charleroi vs OH Leuven — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Charleroi vs OH Leuven and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Charleroi2.4
–
0.9OH Leuven
Season average total: 3.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Charleroi winDrawOH Leuven win
Market call
Double chance : Charleroi or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Charleroi
1505
OH Leuven
1422

Charleroi are the stronger side — 83 rating points clear of OH Leuven.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CharleroiCharleroiOH LeuvenOH Leuven
2.14Goals scored / game0.71
1.00Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Charleroi 7 games, OH Leuven 7 games.

CharleroiCharleroiOH LeuvenOH Leuven
43%Games with a clean sheet14%
0%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Charleroi
3–1
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1–1
OH Leuven
OH Leuven
0–2
Charleroi
Charleroi
0–2
OH Leuven
OH Leuven
2–2
Charleroi
Form check

Their recent form.

Charleroi
Charleroi
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
CharleroivCercle Brugge
3–2
W
Zulte WaregemvCharleroi
0–1
W
CharleroivUnion St. Gilloise
2–3
L
KortrijkvCharleroi
1–3
W
CharleroivKV Mechelen
2–0
W
OH Leuven
OH Leuven
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
OH LeuvenvRAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
OH LeuvenvCercle Brugge
1–1
D
SK BeverenvOH Leuven
3–0
L
GentvOH Leuven
1–0
L
OH LeuvenvStandard Liege
1–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3