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Pro League (Belgium)
·
Charleroi
Charleroi
4th · 18 pts·WWLWW
vs
—
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
1st · 19 pts·WWWWW
The story

Charleroi defend top spot as Union chase continental ground

League leaders Charleroi aim to extend their perfect four-game winning run against a Union Saint-Gilloise side fighting to solidify their place in the European spots.

Match news & current form

Charleroi sit top of the table on 12 points and are currently in total control of the title race with 30 games remaining. They arrive at the Stade du Pays de Charleroi with maximum momentum following a 3-1 away win at Kortrijk and a 2-0 home victory over KV Mechelen. The Zebras have proven resilient, losing just once in their last nine league outings.

Union Saint-Gilloise occupy 6th place with 7 points, holding onto a continental qualification spot with 31 games left to play. After a difficult spell that saw them exit Champions League qualifying, Les Unionistes have bounced back domestically, most recently dismantling rivals Anderlecht 3-0 and thrashing KVC Westerlo 5-1.

Head-to-head history

The historical record heavily favours the visitors, with Union Saint-Gilloise claiming 11 victories to Charleroi's single win across their recorded encounters. However, recent meetings have been tighter, including a 1-1 draw in late 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Charleroi have won four consecutive league matches heading into this fixture.
  • Union Saint-Gilloise have dominated the long-term H2H with 11 wins from 14 meetings.
  • Charleroi have secured four straight away wins in the league, underlining their current high-confidence levels.
  • Union Saint-Gilloise recently snapped a three-match losing streak with a high-scoring run, netting eight times in their last three games.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength for this high-stakes encounter, with no absences reported for either Charleroi or Union Saint-Gilloise. The hosts will rely on the scoring form that saw them net three goals against both Kortrijk and OH Leuven, while Union's attack is firing again following their 5-1 demolition of Westerlo.

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We have published a signal on Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Charleroi1.6
–
2.4Union St. Gilloise
Season average total: 4.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Charleroi winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Union St. Gilloise
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Charleroi
1505
Union St. Gilloise
1717

Union St. Gilloise are the stronger side — 212 rating points clear of Charleroi.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CharleroiCharleroiUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
2.14Goals scored / game3.00
1.00Goals conceded / game0.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Charleroi 7 games, Union St. Gilloise 7 games.

CharleroiCharleroiUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
43%Games with a clean sheet71%
0%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Charleroi
2–3
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
4–1
Charleroi
Charleroi
0–0
Union St. Gilloise
Charleroi
1–1
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
3–1
Charleroi
Form check

Their recent form.

Charleroi
Charleroi
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
CharleroivCercle Brugge
3–2
W
Zulte WaregemvCharleroi
0–1
W
CharleroivUnion St. Gilloise
2–3
L
KortrijkvCharleroi
1–3
W
CharleroivKV Mechelen
2–0
W
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
AntwerpvUnion St. Gilloise
0–2
W
Union St. GilloisevLommel United
5–0
W
CharleroivUnion St. Gilloise
2–3
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
W
Union St. GilloisevAnderlecht
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3