Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine

What our AI model sees

Season averages

2.5

–

2.0

Season average total: 4.50 goals

The market

Public / market price

1X2 probabilities

45%

45%

10%

Chelsea winDrawBournemouth win

Market call

Double chance : Chelsea or Draw

Goals forecast

Over 1.5 goals

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Chelsea

1831

Bournemouth

1872

Bournemouth are the stronger side — 41 rating points clear of Chelsea.

Goals vs xG

In attackIn defence

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Chelsea

Goals scored

1.50

Expected (xG)

1.40

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 10 matches

Bournemouth

Goals scored

1.40

Expected (xG)

1.64

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 10 matches

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

OverallHome gamesAway games

Both teams across every game this season.

ChelseaBournemouth

2.00Goals scored / game1.20

2.40Goals conceded / game1.60

How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Chelsea 5 games, Bournemouth 5 games.

ChelseaBournemouth

0%Games with a clean sheet0%

20%Games they failed to score20%

Their recent form.

Chelsea

Mixed bag at home

Last 5

2W · 1D · 2L

BrentfordvChelsea

3–0

L

ChelseavHull City

2–2

D

ArsenalvChelsea

2–1

L

ChelseavBrighton

4–3

W

FulhamvChelsea

2–3

W

Bournemouth

Inconsistent on the road

Last 5

0W · 3D · 2L

BournemouthvLiverpool

0–1

L

BournemouthvBrentford

2–2

D

NewcastlevBournemouth

2–2

D

BournemouthvEverton

1–1

D

Manchester CityvBournemouth

2–1

L

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#

Team

P

W

D

L

GD

Pts

1

Manchester City

5

5

0

0

+8

15

2

Arsenal

5

4

0

1

+4

12

3

Brighton

5

3

1

1

+11

10

4

Brentford

5

2

3

0

+6

9

5

Leeds

5

2

3

0

+4

9

6

Liverpool

5

2

3

0

+3

9

7

Everton

5

2

3

0

+3

9

8

Hull City

5

2

2

1

+2

8

9

Newcastle

5

2

2

1

+0

8

10

Chelsea

5

2

1

2

-2

7

11

Ipswich

5

2

0

3

-4

6

12

Manchester United

5

1

2

2

+0

5

13

Nottingham Forest

5

1

2

2

-1

5

14

Sunderland

5

1

1

3

-4

4

15

Crystal Palace

5

1

1

3

-5

4

16

Aston Villa

5

1

1

3

-5

4

17

Bournemouth

5

0

3

2

-2

3

18

Coventry

5

1

0

4

-9

3

19

Fulham

5

0

2

3

-3

2

20

Tottenham

5

0

2

3

-6

2