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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
5th · 39 pts·DDDLL
vs
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
3rd · 45 pts·WDDDD
The story

Fire chase Inter Miami in Eastern Conference showdown

Third-placed Chicago Fire host second-placed Inter Miami at Soldier Field with both sides looking to solidify their positions in the MLS Cup play-off places.

Match news & current form

Chicago Fire are currently 38 points and sit 11 points clear of the play-off cut-off. Gregg Berhalter’s side are in a resilient vein of form, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings, though they arrive following a chaotic 4-4 draw against Toronto FC. Berhalter has highlighted the significance of this fixture as a showcase for the league's growth, though he will be wary of his side's tendency to drop points from winning positions, having surrendered 18 points after scoring first this year.

Inter Miami occupy second place with 43 points, holding a 16-point cushion inside the play-off places. However, their momentum has stalled significantly with only one win in their last six league games. Following a 2-2 draw with Atlanta United, the Herons are seeing their grip on the race for first place in the Eastern Conference slip, largely due to a defensive record that has seen them concede multiple goals in eight separate away matches this season.

Head-to-head history

While Inter Miami have taken points in three of the last four meetings between these clubs, Soldier Field has not been a happy hunting ground for them. Miami have only recorded one victory away against the Fire in Chicago, a 4-1 win earlier in 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Chicago Fire are unbeaten in their last five league matches (W2, D3).
  • Inter Miami have scored in eight consecutive away matches in MLS.
  • The Herons have conceded a combined eight goals in their last two away fixtures.
  • Chicago have dropped more points from winning positions (18) than any other top-three side in the East this season.
Key players & missing men

The spotlight falls on a high-profile meeting between Robert Lewandowski and Lionel Messi, marking a significant milestone for the league. Chicago will be without A. Franco, M. Mbokazi, C. Mueller, and J. Bamba. Inter Miami's defensive depth is tested with Micael and Gonzalo Lujan doubtful, while Mateo Silvetti is sidelined with a shoulder injury. Sergio Reguilon is also a major doubt with a hamstring strain, joining T. Allende and S. Morales on the absentee list.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Chicago Fire1.8
1.7Inter Miami
Season average total: 3.42 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Chicago Fire winDrawInter Miami win
Market call
Double chance : Chicago Fire or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Chicago FireChicago FireInter MiamiInter Miami
1.80Goals scored / game2.44
1.52Goals conceded / game1.84
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Chicago Fire 25 games, Inter Miami 25 games.

Chicago FireChicago FireInter MiamiInter Miami
24%Games with a clean sheet16%
8%Games they failed to score8%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Chicago Fire
1–1
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
3–2
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
3–5
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
0–0
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
1–4
Inter Miami
Form check

Their recent form.

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
Nashville SCvChicago Fire
3–0
L
Chicago FirevNew England Revolution
1–2
L
Chicago FirevInter Miami
1–1
D
Toronto FCvChicago Fire
4–4
D
Seattle SoundersvChicago Fire
2–2
D
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Inter MiamivSan Diego
2–2
D
Inter MiamivNashville SC
2–2
D
Chicago FirevInter Miami
1–1
D
Inter MiamivAtlanta United FC
2–2
D
Inter MiamivCF Montreal
7–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
26
17
6
3
+32
57
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
26
14
4
8
+12
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
25
12
9
4
+15
45
4
CharlotteCharlotte
26
12
7
7
+10
43
5
Chicago FireChicago Fire
25
11
6
8
+7
39
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
26
10
6
10
+8
36
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
26
10
4
12
-14
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
26
9
6
11
-14
33
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
25
8
9
8
-7
33
10
New York City FCNew York City FC
26
8
8
10
+5
32
11
DC UnitedDC United
25
6
11
8
-8
29
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
26
6
11
9
-10
29
13
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
26
7
5
14
-5
26
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
26
7
5
14
-13
26
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
26
5
6
15
-22
21