Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Club America
Club America
1st · 27 pts·WDWWL
vs
—
Toluca
Toluca
5th · 23 pts·DLDDD
The story

Leaders Club America host winless Toluca in Mexico City

League leaders Club America look to cement their title push against a struggling Toluca side fighting to protect their playoff position.

Match news & current form

Club America enter the weekend top of the table on 27 points with four games remaining, firmly in control of the title race. Guillermo Almada rotated his squad in midweek with an eye on this clash, and his side arrive in rampant attacking form following high-scoring victories over Atlas (5-2) and Leon (5-3), extending their current run to three wins and two draws from their last five matches.

Toluca sit fifth on 23 points, occupying a spot in the playoff places with a three-point cushion and three matches left to play. However, their momentum has ground to a halt at a crucial juncture, failing to win any of their last five games (D3 L2) following a 2-2 home draw against Club Tijuana and a 1-1 stalemate with Atletico San Luis.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have leaned towards the visitors, with Toluca claiming 2-0 and 3-1 victories in 2025. However, Club America took the most recent encounter, securing a 2-1 win when the sides met on 19 April 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Club America are unbeaten in their last five Liga MX matches, scoring 17 goals across that span.
  • Toluca are on a five-game winless run in the league (D3 L2).
  • Toluca have conceded eight goals across their last three matches.
Key players & missing men

America lean on Henry Martin, who leads their line with seven goals, supported by Paul Brian Rodriguez's five goals and 26 chances created. Toluca rely on top scorer Federico Vinas, who has matched Martin with seven goals, fed by playmaker Helio Castro's six assists and 33 chances created. Neither side has reported any fresh injury absences.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Club America vs Toluca — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Club America vs Toluca and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Club America1.6
–
1.2Toluca
Season average total: 2.77 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Club America winDrawToluca win
Market call
Double chance : Club America or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Club AmericaClub AmericaTolucaToluca
2.54Goals scored / game2.07
1.38Goals conceded / game1.36
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Club America 13 games, Toluca 14 games.

Club AmericaClub AmericaTolucaToluca
31%Games with a clean sheet29%
0%Games they failed to score7%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Club America
2–1
Toluca
Toluca
2–0
Club America
Club America
1–3
Toluca
Toluca
2–0
Club America
Club America
0–0
Toluca
Form check

Their recent form.

Club America
Club America
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Club AmericavCF Pachuca
1–2
L
AtlasvClub America
2–5
W
LeonvClub America
3–5
W
Club AmericavMonterrey
1–1
D
NecaxavClub America
2–4
W
Toluca
Toluca
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 4D · 1L
LeonvToluca
1–1
D
TolucavClub Tijuana
2–2
D
TolucavAtletico San Luis
1–1
D
Tigres UANLvToluca
3–2
L
Cruz AzulvToluca
3–3
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Club AmericaClub America
13
8
3
2
+15
27
2
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
14
8
2
4
+9
26
3
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
14
7
5
2
+9
26
4
AtlasAtlas
14
7
3
4
-1
24
5
TolucaToluca
14
6
5
3
+10
23
6
LeonLeon
14
6
4
4
+3
22
7
MonterreyMonterrey
13
6
2
5
+5
20
8
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
13
5
5
3
+4
20
9
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
13
6
2
5
-1
20
10
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
14
6
1
7
+0
19
11
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
14
5
4
5
-3
19
12
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
14
4
5
5
-3
17
13
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
14
4
4
6
+3
16
14
PueblaPuebla
14
4
4
6
-5
16
15
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
14
3
6
5
-4
15
16
Atlante FCAtlante FC
14
3
5
6
-6
14
17
NecaxaNecaxa
14
2
4
8
-11
10
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
14
1
2
11
-24
5