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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
9th · 43 pts·DDWDL
vs
—
Austin
Austin
14th · 34 pts·LLWLL
The story

Western Conference basement battle as playoff hopes fade

Separated by just two points at the bottom of the Western Conference, Colorado Rapids and Austin FC meet in a high-stakes clash to keep their dwindling playoff ambitions alive.

Match news & current form

Colorado Rapids (13th West) return home in urgent need of a result after a 1-0 defeat to St. Louis City. Despite a difficult run of four losses in their last five games, the Rapids have shown a resilient streak, winning their last three matches immediately following a loss. They sit just four points adrift of the playoff spots, making this a critical junction in their season.

Austin FC (14th West) arrive in Colorado following a defeat to rivals Houston Dynamo. While they recently secured a 3-1 win over Seattle Sounders, their form on the road has been dismal, losing their last three away fixtures. With the Leagues Cup 2026 looming, Austin must find offensive consistency to leapfrog the Rapids in the standings.

Head-to-head history

This is the first meeting between the two sides this season, but Austin holds fond memories of their last visit to Commerce City, where they secured a -0 victory in June 2025. Historically, Austin has enjoyed success at this venue, winning three of their six all-time away matches against the Rapids.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Colorado Rapids are 3-0-0 in their last three matches following a loss.
  • Austin FC have been outscored 11-0 across their last three away matches.
  • Rapids striker Rafael Navarro has been held to just one goal in his last seven starts despite leading the team's scoring charts.
  • Colorado has only managed to record consecutive victories once this entire season.
Key players & missing men

The Rapids will be without Rob Holding following his red card against St. Louis, joining T. Ku-DiPietro, Z. Steffen, and J. Travis on the sidelines. Austin are missing J. Bell and M. Desler, while squad depth is further tested by the reported departure of U22 player Nicolás Dubersarsky on loan to Argentina. All eyes will be on Austin's new Polish winger Przemysław Płacheta to provide the spark that has been missing on their travels.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Colorado Rapids vs Austin and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Colorado Rapids2.1
–
1.1Austin
Season average total: 3.23 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Colorado Rapids winDrawAustin win
Market call
Winner : Colorado Rapids
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsAustinAustin
1.39Goals scored / game1.27
1.42Goals conceded / game1.91
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Colorado Rapids 33 games, Austin 33 games.

Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsAustinAustin
33%Games with a clean sheet15%
24%Games they failed to score18%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Austin
1–1
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
1–0
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0–2
Austin
Austin
0–1
Colorado Rapids
Austin
3–2
Colorado Rapids
Form check

Their recent form.

Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
Colorado RapidsvChicago Fire
2–4
L
San Jose EarthquakesvColorado Rapids
2–2
D
Colorado RapidsvVancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
Portland TimbersvColorado Rapids
0–0
D
Colorado RapidsvMinnesota United FC
2–2
D
Austin
Austin
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Los Angeles GalaxyvAustin
4–1
L
AustinvReal Salt Lake
1–2
L
Sporting Kansas CityvAustin
1–2
W
AustinvVancouver Whitecaps
1–2
L
Los Angeles FCvAustin
3–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
33
18
7
8
+38
61
2
FC DallasFC Dallas
33
15
10
8
+9
55
3
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
33
14
10
9
+8
52
4
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
33
14
9
10
+10
51
5
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
33
14
9
10
+1
51
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
33
12
11
10
+13
47
7
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
33
11
11
11
-6
44
8
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
33
12
7
14
-1
43
9
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
33
12
7
14
-1
43
10
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
33
11
10
12
-3
43
11
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
33
12
6
15
+0
42
12
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
33
10
11
12
-4
41
13
San DiegoSan Diego
33
9
11
13
-5
38
14
AustinAustin
33
8
10
15
-21
34
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
33
6
5
22
-42
23