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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
7th · 36 pts·WLDWD
vs
San Diego
San Diego
10th · 30 pts·WLLLD
The story

Western Conference Rivals Battle to Reclaim Playoff Ground

Separated by just one point in the Western Conference standings, Colorado and San Diego return from the World Cup break in a direct fight to bridge the four-point gap to the playoff line.

Match news & current form

Matt Wells's Colorado Rapids enter this fixture in desperate need of a reset after a dire run of five defeats in six league outings. Their last match before the intermission was a frustrating 2-1 home loss to FC Dallas, where they conceded two first-half penalties and saw Wayne Frederick sent off. Currently sitting 13th in the Western Conference with 16 points, the Rapids are four points adrift of the post-season spots.

San Diego occupy 12th place with 17 points, technically inside the relegation zone and fighting to save their season with 31 games remaining. While they have shown resilience with only one loss in their last five, including a 5-0 thrashing of Austin, their most recent outing was a 4-2 defeat to Vancouver. Manager Varas will be concerned by his side's disciplinary record, having already seen five red cards issued to his players this campaign.

Hot stats & streaks
  • San Diego have not been held scoreless in a league match since late April.
  • The visitors' last two fixtures alone have produced a combined 12 goals.
  • Colorado have lost four of their last five matches, with three of those defeats coming by a single-goal margin.
  • San Diego have scored in six consecutive matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last two.
Key players & missing men

Rafael Navarro remains the primary threat for the Rapids, leading the team with eight goals from 42 shots this season. However, the hosts are depleted defensively; goalkeeper Zack Steffen is sidelined with a shoulder injury, and left-back Miguel Navarro is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. Wayne Frederick also misses out following his recent red card.

San Diego's squad depth is tested with a lengthy absence list including Jeppe Tverskov, Pablo Sisniega, and Westberg Kumado. They will rely on their high-scoring attack, which has netted 30 goals in 15 games, to mask these defensive gaps.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Colorado Rapids1.8
1.0San Diego
Season average total: 2.75 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Colorado Rapids winDrawSan Diego win
Market call
Double chance : Colorado Rapids or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsSan DiegoSan Diego
1.38Goals scored / game1.69
1.35Goals conceded / game1.69
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Colorado Rapids 26 games, San Diego 26 games.

Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsSan DiegoSan Diego
35%Games with a clean sheet27%
27%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

San Diego
3–0
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
1–0
San Diego
San Diego
2–0
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
3–2
San Diego
Form check

Their recent form.

Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Colorado RapidsvSeattle Sounders
3–3
D
Colorado RapidsvCF Montreal
1–0
W
AustinvColorado Rapids
1–1
D
Columbus CrewvColorado Rapids
3–0
L
Colorado RapidsvReal Salt Lake
1–0
W
San Diego
San Diego
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Inter MiamivSan Diego
2–2
D
San DiegovPhiladelphia Union
0–5
L
San DiegovSan Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
Orlando City SCvSan Diego
1–0
L
San DiegovLos Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18