Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Serie A (Italy)
·
Como
Como
8th · 10 pts·DWWWL
vs
—
AS Roma
AS Roma
1st · 13 pts·WWWWD
The story

Como host unbeaten Roma at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Eighth-placed Como seek to rebound from their first defeat when they take on early league leaders AS Roma.

Match news & current form

Cesc Fabregas's Como side sit eighth on 10 points after five matches, having made a positive start to the campaign before suffering a 2-0 defeat away at Frosinone last time out. Prior to that setback, the hosts had won three consecutive fixtures, including away victories over Genoa and Napoli.

Gian Piero Gasperini has guided AS Roma to the top of Serie A on 13 points after five games, remaining unbeaten with four wins and a draw. Roma enter the contest following a 2-2 home draw against Inter, having previously kept back-to-back clean sheets against Lecce and Torino.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between the two sides have favoured the home team. Como won both previous clashes at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, taking a 2-0 victory in December 2024 and a 2-1 win in March 2026, while Roma won their corresponding home fixtures 2-1 and 1-0.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Como have won their last two home matches against Roma across all competitions.
  • Roma enter the contest unbeaten through their first five league fixtures.
  • The home side has won all four meetings between Como and Roma since December 2024.
Key players & missing men

Como are set to be without striker Moise Kean due to physical fatigue sustained on international duty, while I. Smolcic is also sidelined, though Nico Paz returns from Argentina duty. Roma make the trip without Bryan Cristante, Donyell Malen, Wesley Franca, and M. Bah, paving the way for Marten de Roon to feature in midfield alongside Manu Koné.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Como1.0
–
2.0AS Roma
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Como winDrawAS Roma win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or AS Roma
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Como
1760
AS Roma
1793

AS Roma are the stronger side — 33 rating points clear of Como.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

ComoComo
Goals scored
1.70
Expected (xG)
2.10
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
AS RomaAS Roma
Goals scored
2.70
Expected (xG)
2.85
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ComoComoAS RomaAS Roma
1.80Goals scored / game2.80
1.20Goals conceded / game0.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Como 5 games, AS Roma 5 games.

ComoComoAS RomaAS Roma
0%Games with a clean sheet60%
20%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Como
2–1
AS Roma
AS Roma
1–0
Como
AS Roma
2–1
Como
Como
2–0
AS Roma
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Como
M. Kean
Doubt · Health problems
Como
I. Smolcic
Doubt · Illness
AS Roma
M. Bah
Out · Knee Injury
AS Roma
B. Cristante
Doubt · Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Como
Como
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
FrosinonevComo
2–0
L
ComovParma
2–1
W
GenoavComo
1–4
W
NapolivComo
1–2
W
UdinesevComo
1–1
D
AS Roma
AS Roma
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
AS RomavInter
2–2
D
TorinovAS Roma
0–2
W
AS RomavAtalanta
2–1
W
LeccevAS Roma
0–4
W
AS RomavFiorentina
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AS RomaAS Roma
5
4
1
0
+11
13
2
InterInter
5
4
1
0
+7
13
3
LazioLazio
5
4
1
0
+5
13
4
CagliariCagliari
5
4
0
1
+3
12
5
AC MilanAC Milan
5
3
2
0
+6
11
6
FrosinoneFrosinone
5
3
1
1
+5
10
7
JuventusJuventus
5
3
1
1
+4
10
8
ComoComo
5
3
1
1
+3
10
9
NapoliNapoli
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
SassuoloSassuolo
5
2
1
2
+0
7
11
AtalantaAtalanta
5
2
0
3
-2
6
12
LecceLecce
5
2
0
3
-5
6
13
UdineseUdinese
5
1
1
3
-3
4
14
TorinoTorino
5
1
1
3
-3
4
15
ParmaParma
5
1
1
3
-3
4
16
MonzaMonza
5
1
1
3
-4
4
17
FiorentinaFiorentina
5
1
1
3
-6
4
18
BolognaBologna
5
0
2
3
-3
2
19
GenoaGenoa
5
0
1
4
-7
1
20
VeneziaVenezia
5
0
0
5
-9
0