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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Coritiba
Coritiba
11th · 42 pts·LLDLL
vs
—
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
5th · 54 pts·DWLDL
The story

Atletiba Derby Stakes High for Title and Continental Chasers

The fierce Atletiba rivalry resumes at the Estádio Major Antonio Couto Pereira with Coritiba defending their Copa Sudamericana spot against an Athletico Paranaense side still hunting the league title.

Match news & current form

Coritiba enter this match in 7th place with 37 points, currently holding a five-point cushion within the Copa Sudamericana places. Despite a 1-2 defeat to Mirassol last time out, they have been in strong form with three wins and a draw in their previous five fixtures, including a notable 2-1 victory over Corinthians.

Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd on 45 points and remain firmly in the title race, trailing the leaders by nine points with 12 games remaining. Their momentum has slowed recently following a 1-3 loss to Cruzeiro and a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Fluminense, leaving them desperate for a derby win to close the gap at the top.

Head-to-head history

The historical record in recent league meetings favours the visitors, with Athletico Paranaense winning four of the last five encounters. However, the last two matches hosted by Coritiba ended in 0-0 draws, suggesting a tighter affair when the derby is played at the Couto Pereira.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Athletico Paranaense have conceded nine goals across their last five matches.
  • Coritiba have scored at least two goals in three of their last five league games.
  • The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in 80% of their most recent outings.
  • Coritiba have won three of their last four home games against various opponents.
Key players & missing men

Kevin Viveros is the man in form for the visitors, having registered three goals and an assist in his last five appearances. Coritiba's attack will need to compensate for the absence of Lucas Ronier and B. Ocampo, while Tinga and Jacy also miss out. The visitors travel without Claudinho, Leo Derik, and Arthur Dias.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Coritiba1.4
–
1.3Atletico Paranaense
Season average total: 2.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Coritiba winDrawAtletico Paranaense win
Market call
Double chance : Coritiba or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CoritibaCoritibaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
1.21Goals scored / game1.52
1.52Goals conceded / game1.21
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Coritiba 33 games, Atletico Paranaense 33 games.

CoritibaCoritibaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
21%Games with a clean sheet24%
33%Games they failed to score24%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Coritiba
3–3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2–0
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0–1
Coritiba
Coritiba
0–0
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
0–1
Coritiba
Form check

Their recent form.

Coritiba
Coritiba
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
CoritibavGremio
0–1
L
Atletico-MGvCoritiba
1–0
L
CoritibavBotafogo
1–1
D
FluminensevCoritiba
4–0
L
Vasco DA GamavCoritiba
5–0
L
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
GremiovAtletico Paranaense
2–0
L
VitoriavAtletico Paranaense
1–1
D
Atletico ParanaensevPalmeiras
0–2
L
Chapecoense-scvAtletico Paranaense
1–4
W
Atletico ParanaensevAtletico-MG
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21