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Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Coritiba
Coritiba
9th · 38 pts·WWLDL
vs
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
4th · 46 pts·WDLDW
The story

Atletiba Derby Stakes High for Title and Continental Chasers

The fierce Atletiba rivalry resumes at the Estádio Major Antonio Couto Pereira with Coritiba defending their Copa Sudamericana spot against an Athletico Paranaense side still hunting the league title.

Match news & current form

Coritiba enter this match in 7th place with 37 points, currently holding a five-point cushion within the Copa Sudamericana places. Despite a 1-2 defeat to Mirassol last time out, they have been in strong form with three wins and a draw in their previous five fixtures, including a notable 2-1 victory over Corinthians.

Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd on 45 points and remain firmly in the title race, trailing the leaders by nine points with 12 games remaining. Their momentum has slowed recently following a 1-3 loss to Cruzeiro and a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Fluminense, leaving them desperate for a derby win to close the gap at the top.

Head-to-head history

The historical record in recent league meetings favours the visitors, with Athletico Paranaense winning four of the last five encounters. However, the last two matches hosted by Coritiba ended in 0-0 draws, suggesting a tighter affair when the derby is played at the Couto Pereira.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Athletico Paranaense have conceded nine goals across their last five matches.
  • Coritiba have scored at least two goals in three of their last five league games.
  • The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in 80% of their most recent outings.
  • Coritiba have won three of their last four home games against various opponents.
Key players & missing men

Kevin Viveros is the man in form for the visitors, having registered three goals and an assist in his last five appearances. Coritiba's attack will need to compensate for the absence of Lucas Ronier and B. Ocampo, while Tinga and Jacy also miss out. The visitors travel without Claudinho, Leo Derik, and Arthur Dias.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Coritiba1.4
1.3Atletico Paranaense
Season average total: 2.76 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Coritiba winDrawAtletico Paranaense win
Market call
Double chance : Coritiba or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CoritibaCoritibaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
1.32Goals scored / game1.54
1.54Goals conceded / game1.14
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Coritiba 28 games, Atletico Paranaense 28 games.

CoritibaCoritibaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
21%Games with a clean sheet29%
29%Games they failed to score21%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Coritiba
3–3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2–0
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0–1
Coritiba
Coritiba
0–0
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
0–1
Coritiba
Form check

Their recent form.

Coritiba
Coritiba
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Vasco DA GamavCoritiba
5–0
L
CoritibavAtletico Paranaense
3–3
D
CoritibavMirassol
1–2
L
RemovCoritiba
2–3
W
CoritibavCorinthians
2–1
W
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Atletico ParanaensevBahia
2–1
W
CoritibavAtletico Paranaense
3–3
D
CruzeirovAtletico Paranaense
3–1
L
Atletico ParanaensevFluminense
3–3
D
BotafogovAtletico Paranaense
2–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18