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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Coritiba
Coritiba
9th · 38 pts·WWLDL
vs
—
Mirassol
Mirassol
15th · 32 pts·DLWDW
The story

Coritiba eye Europe as Mirassol battle for survival

Seventh-placed Coritiba look to bridge the two-point gap to the European places against a Mirassol side sitting just two points above the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Coritiba arrive at Estádio Couto Pereira with significant momentum, having secured back-to-back victories including a 3-2 away win over Remo and a 2-1 home triumph against Corinthians. With 15 games remaining, the hosts are firmly in the hunt for a top-six finish and have found their scoring touch, netting eight goals across their last four outings.

Mirassol are trending in the opposite direction, failing to record a win in their last five league rounds. Their recent 2-0 defeat to Flamengo highlights a persistent struggle in front of goal, having managed only three goals in their last five matches. Currently 16th, the visitors are desperate for points to secure their top-flight status for another season.

Head-to-head history

While form favors the hosts, Mirassol have proven to be a difficult opponent in this specific fixture previously. Notably, they secured a 4-1 victory at this exact stage of the competition two seasons ago, a result they will hope to emulate to break their current winless streak.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Mirassol have failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 consecutive Serie A away matches.
  • Coritiba have scored in each of their last four league fixtures.
  • Pedro Rocha is looking to extend his scoring streak after netting in two consecutive Serie A games for Coritiba.
  • Mirassol have averaged just 0.6 goals per game across their last five league outings.
Key players & missing men

Coritiba will be without a significant group of players including Brandao, Lucas Ronier, and B. Ocampo, while Tiago Coser, Tinga, and Jacy also miss out. The visitors are missing Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo, Negueba, and Walter. For Mirassol, midfielder Denilson Alves Borges remains a key figure but is playing under disciplinary pressure, having picked up four yellow cards in his last five appearances.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Coritiba1.5
–
1.1Mirassol
Season average total: 2.63 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Coritiba winDrawMirassol win
Market call
Double chance : Coritiba or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CoritibaCoritibaMirassolMirassol
1.32Goals scored / game1.18
1.54Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Coritiba 28 games, Mirassol 28 games.

CoritibaCoritibaMirassolMirassol
21%Games with a clean sheet7%
29%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Coritiba
1–2
Mirassol
Mirassol
0–1
Coritiba
Mirassol
4–1
Coritiba
Coritiba
0–1
Mirassol
Form check

Their recent form.

Coritiba
Coritiba
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Vasco DA GamavCoritiba
5–0
L
CoritibavAtletico Paranaense
3–3
D
CoritibavMirassol
1–2
L
RemovCoritiba
2–3
W
CoritibavCorinthians
2–1
W
Mirassol
Mirassol
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MirassolvBotafogo
2–0
W
MirassolvVitoria
2–2
D
CoritibavMirassol
1–2
W
FlamengovMirassol
2–0
L
MirassolvPalmeiras
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18