Winlytics.AI
Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Coritiba
Coritiba
11th · 42 pts·LLDLL
vs
—
Mirassol
Mirassol
13th · 40 pts·DLWDL
The story

Coritiba eye Europe as Mirassol battle for survival

Seventh-placed Coritiba look to bridge the two-point gap to the European places against a Mirassol side sitting just two points above the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Coritiba arrive at Estádio Couto Pereira with significant momentum, having secured back-to-back victories including a 3-2 away win over Remo and a 2-1 home triumph against Corinthians. With 15 games remaining, the hosts are firmly in the hunt for a top-six finish and have found their scoring touch, netting eight goals across their last four outings.

Mirassol are trending in the opposite direction, failing to record a win in their last five league rounds. Their recent 2-0 defeat to Flamengo highlights a persistent struggle in front of goal, having managed only three goals in their last five matches. Currently 16th, the visitors are desperate for points to secure their top-flight status for another season.

Head-to-head history

While form favors the hosts, Mirassol have proven to be a difficult opponent in this specific fixture previously. Notably, they secured a 4-1 victory at this exact stage of the competition two seasons ago, a result they will hope to emulate to break their current winless streak.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Mirassol have failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 consecutive Serie A away matches.
  • Coritiba have scored in each of their last four league fixtures.
  • Pedro Rocha is looking to extend his scoring streak after netting in two consecutive Serie A games for Coritiba.
  • Mirassol have averaged just 0.6 goals per game across their last five league outings.
Key players & missing men

Coritiba will be without a significant group of players including Brandao, Lucas Ronier, and B. Ocampo, while Tiago Coser, Tinga, and Jacy also miss out. The visitors are missing Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo, Negueba, and Walter. For Mirassol, midfielder Denilson Alves Borges remains a key figure but is playing under disciplinary pressure, having picked up four yellow cards in his last five appearances.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Coritiba vs Mirassol — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Coritiba vs Mirassol and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Coritiba1.4
–
1.0Mirassol
Season average total: 2.45 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Coritiba winDrawMirassol win
Market call
Double chance : Coritiba or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CoritibaCoritibaMirassolMirassol
1.21Goals scored / game1.12
1.52Goals conceded / game1.42
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Coritiba 33 games, Mirassol 33 games.

CoritibaCoritibaMirassolMirassol
21%Games with a clean sheet9%
33%Games they failed to score27%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Coritiba
1–2
Mirassol
Mirassol
0–1
Coritiba
Mirassol
4–1
Coritiba
Coritiba
0–1
Mirassol
Form check

Their recent form.

Coritiba
Coritiba
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
CoritibavGremio
0–1
L
Atletico-MGvCoritiba
1–0
L
CoritibavBotafogo
1–1
D
FluminensevCoritiba
4–0
L
Vasco DA GamavCoritiba
5–0
L
Mirassol
Mirassol
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
CorinthiansvMirassol
2–0
L
MirassolvSao Paulo
1–1
D
MirassolvInternacional
2–0
W
BahiavMirassol
1–0
L
RB BragantinovMirassol
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21