Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Premier League (England)
·
Coventry
Coventry
17th · 6 pts·LLWWL
vs
—
Fulham
Fulham
18th · 5 pts·LDDLW
The story

Coventry host Fulham after consecutive Premier League victories

Seven games into the Premier League campaign, Coventry sit 17th with six points and look to build momentum against 18th-placed Fulham, who have five points.

Match news & current form

Coventry have made a slow start overall with six points from seven matches, but momentum has shifted rapidly. Back-to-back victories have revitalised their campaign, following up a 1-0 away win at Nottingham Forest with an emphatic 4-1 triumph over Newcastle at the Coventry Building Society Arena. Back in the top flight after a 25-year absence, the Sky Blues are beginning to find their feet.

Fulham are still finding their feet under a new head coach, sitting one place behind their hosts after taking five points from seven fixtures. Recent results have been hard to come by, with two draws and three defeats in their last five league outings, including a 2-1 loss away at Ipswich Town.

Head-to-head history

Head-to-head history heavily favours Coventry, who have won both recorded encounters between the two clubs. The Sky Blues claimed a 4-1 home victory in October 2021 before following it up with a 3-1 away win at Fulham in April 2022.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Coventry have won each of the two previous meetings between the clubs by multi-goal margins.
  • Both past head-to-head fixtures produced at least four total goals.
  • Fulham enter the fixture winless in their last five Premier League matches.
  • Coventry have scored five goals across their last two league outings after failing to score in the preceding three.
Key players & missing men

Alexander Iwobi remains Fulham's primary creative spark, having already generated 16 chances alongside one goal in 588 minutes of action. Bernd Leno is set to start in goal for the visitors opposite Carl Rushworth for Coventry. Neither side has reported any fresh injury or suspension concerns ahead of kickoff.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Coventry vs Fulham and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Coventry1.2
–
1.3Fulham
Season average total: 2.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Coventry winDrawFulham win
Market call
Double chance : Coventry or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Coventry
1661
Fulham
1813

Fulham are the stronger side — 152 rating points clear of Coventry.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

CoventryCoventry
Goals scored
0.86
Expected (xG)
1.11
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 7 matches
FulhamFulham
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.65
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CoventryCoventryFulhamFulham
0.86Goals scored / game1.00
2.00Goals conceded / game1.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Coventry 7 games, Fulham 7 games.

CoventryCoventryFulhamFulham
14%Games with a clean sheet29%
57%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Fulham
1–3
Coventry
Coventry
4–1
Fulham
Form check

Their recent form.

Coventry
Coventry
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
TottenhamvCoventry
3–1
L
CoventryvNewcastle
4–1
W
Nottingham ForestvCoventry
0–1
W
CoventryvBrighton
0–5
L
Manchester CityvCoventry
1–0
L
Fulham
Fulham
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
FulhamvHull City
1–0
W
IpswichvFulham
2–1
L
FulhamvManchester United
1–1
D
LiverpoolvFulham
0–0
D
FulhamvCrystal Palace
2–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
7
7
0
0
+12
21
2
ArsenalArsenal
7
6
0
1
+6
18
3
BrightonBrighton
7
5
1
1
+18
16
4
ChelseaChelsea
7
4
1
2
+4
13
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
7
3
3
1
+1
12
6
BrentfordBrentford
7
2
4
1
+5
10
7
LeedsLeeds
7
2
4
1
+3
10
8
EvertonEverton
7
2
4
1
+1
10
9
Hull CityHull City
7
2
3
2
+1
9
10
IpswichIpswich
7
3
0
4
-4
9
11
NewcastleNewcastle
7
2
2
3
-4
8
12
Aston VillaAston Villa
7
2
2
3
-4
8
13
Manchester UnitedManchester United
7
1
4
2
+0
7
14
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
7
2
1
4
-8
7
15
BournemouthBournemouth
7
1
3
3
-4
6
16
TottenhamTottenham
7
1
3
3
-4
6
17
CoventryCoventry
7
2
0
5
-8
6
18
FulhamFulham
7
1
2
4
-3
5
19
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
7
1
2
4
-4
5
20
SunderlandSunderland
7
1
1
5
-8
4