Winlytics.AI
Full time
Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
13th · 12 pts·LLWDL
vs
—
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
2nd · 28 pts·DWDDD
The story

Gornik eye top spot while Cracovia seek consistency

Third-placed Gornik Zabrze head to Krakow looking to reclaim the league lead, while Cracovia sit just one point off the European places in a tightly packed mid-table.

Match news & current form

Cracovia enter this fixture following a narrow 2-1 defeat to Radomiak Radom, a result that halted the momentum gained from back-to-back victories against Wieczysta Krakow and Rakow Czestochowa. Under the tactical direction of Bartosz Grzelak, the hosts are looking to climb from 11th and bridge the one-point gap to the European qualification spots.

Gornik Zabrze remain firmly in the title race, sitting just one point behind the league leaders. However, they must regroup after a chaotic 3-2 home defeat to GKS Katowice. Prior to that slip-up, Jan Urban’s side had been in imperious form, securing three consecutive wins against Wisla Krakow, Radomiak, and Slask Wroclaw.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters between these two have been high-scoring affairs, including a 3-3 draw in their last meeting of 2025. While Gornik Zabrze claimed a dominant 3-0 victory five months ago, the historical record is remarkably balanced, with 26 meetings between the sides over the last several seasons.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Gornik Zabrze have won three of their last four league matches as they chase the Ekstraklasa summit.
  • Cracovia have found their scoring touch at home, netting five goals across their last two matches at the Jozef Pilsudski Stadium.
  • The last meeting between these two sides in Krakow ended in a six-goal thriller (3-3).
  • Gornik Zabrze are balancing domestic duties with a heavy schedule that included a Conference League playoff against Monaco.
Key players & missing men

Cracovia’s attack is led by top scorer Ajdin Hasic, who has been instrumental alongside Dominik Pila in Grzelak's 4-2-3-1 system. Both teams boast clean bills of health for this encounter, with no fresh injuries reported in the structured squads. Gornik will rely on the fitness of their core group following a demanding European qualifying run.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Cracovia Krakow1.0
–
1.6Gornik Zabrze
Season average total: 2.57 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Cracovia Krakow winDrawGornik Zabrze win
Market call
Double chance : Cracovia Krakow or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Cracovia Krakow
1394
Gornik Zabrze
1452

Gornik Zabrze are the stronger side — 58 rating points clear of Cracovia Krakow.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Cracovia KrakowCracovia KrakowGornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
1.15Goals scored / game1.62
1.62Goals conceded / game0.85
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Cracovia Krakow 13 games, Gornik Zabrze 13 games.

Cracovia KrakowCracovia KrakowGornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
15%Games with a clean sheet31%
31%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Cracovia Krakow
0–1
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
3–0
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
1–1
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
0–1
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
3–2
Gornik Zabrze
Form check

Their recent form.

Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Piast GliwicevCracovia Krakow
3–1
L
Cracovia KrakowvLegia Warszawa
1–1
D
Cracovia KrakowvZaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
GKS KatowicevCracovia Krakow
3–2
L
Wisla PlockvCracovia Krakow
3–1
L
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Gornik ZabrzevLegia Warszawa
0–0
D
Widzew ŁódźvGornik Zabrze
1–1
D
Gornik ZabrzevPiast Gliwice
1–1
D
JagielloniavGornik Zabrze
1–3
W
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
12
10
1
1
+21
31
2
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
13
8
4
1
+10
28
3
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
13
6
6
1
+12
24
4
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
12
7
3
2
+8
24
5
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
13
6
4
3
+1
22
6
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
13
7
0
6
+6
21
7
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
13
6
3
4
+4
21
8
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
13
6
3
4
+2
21
9
JagielloniaJagiellonia
12
6
0
6
-1
18
10
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
13
5
3
5
-5
18
11
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
13
4
4
5
-3
16
12
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
12
4
3
5
-6
15
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
13
3
3
7
-6
12
14
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
13
1
8
4
-2
11
15
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
13
3
2
8
-14
11
16
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
13
2
3
8
-8
9
17
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
13
3
0
10
-10
9
18
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
13
2
2
9
-9
8