Winlytics.AI
Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
3rd · 57 pts·WLWWW
vs
—
Flamengo
Flamengo
1st · 76 pts·DWWWW
The story

Cruzeiro seek immediate revenge after continental heartbreak

A high-stakes clash at the Mineirão sees Cruzeiro fighting to protect their continental spot while Flamengo look to close the three-point gap on the league leaders.

Match news & current form

Cruzeiro enter this fixture fifth in the table with 36 points, firmly in the hunt for a top-four finish with 17 games remaining. The 'Black Beast' are in excellent domestic form, winning each of their last three Serie A matches, including a 2-1 away victory over Corinthians. However, they must overcome the psychological blow of being eliminated from the Copa Libertadores by this very opponent just three days ago.

Flamengo sit second with 45 points, trailing the leaders by just three. Leonardo Jardim’s side boasts the league’s most potent attack, having scored 44 goals this season, and they arrive on the back of a dominant 5-1 thrashing of Mirassol. While they are unbeaten in nine matches across all competitions, Jardim's men have failed to win two of their last three away league fixtures.

Head-to-head history

This is the second meeting between the clubs in 72 hours following their midweek continental decider. While Flamengo held the upper hand in the cup, they have struggled on their recent league trips to Belo Horizonte, failing to secure a win in their last two visits to face Cruzeiro.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Cruzeiro have won three consecutive Serie A matches heading into this fixture.
  • Flamengo have built the league's best goal difference at +25.
  • The hosts are unbeaten in eight of their last nine home matches across all competitions.
  • Flamengo average two goals per game but have failed to win two of their last three on the road.
Key players & missing men

Cruzeiro will rely on the creative movement of Matheus Pereira to unlock the league's best defence, while Kaio Jorge remains their primary threat with six goals this term. For the visitors, Samuel Lino has been the chief architect with seven assists. Both squads appear to have come through their midweek battle without fresh injury concerns, as no new absences are reported.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Cruzeiro vs Flamengo — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Cruzeiro vs Flamengo and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Cruzeiro1.3
–
1.6Flamengo
Season average total: 2.88 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Cruzeiro winDrawFlamengo win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Flamengo
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengo
1.58Goals scored / game2.06
1.39Goals conceded / game0.85
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Cruzeiro 33 games, Flamengo 33 games.

CruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengo
24%Games with a clean sheet42%
12%Games they failed to score6%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Cruzeiro
2–1
Flamengo
Flamengo
2–1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
1–1
Flamengo
Flamengo
2–0
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
0–0
Cruzeiro
Form check

Their recent form.

Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Atletico-MGvCruzeiro
0–1
W
CruzeirovRemo
1–0
W
GremiovCruzeiro
2–4
W
RB BragantinovCruzeiro
4–2
L
CruzeirovSao Paulo
2–0
W
Flamengo
Flamengo
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
Vasco DA GamavFlamengo
1–4
W
FlamengovAtletico-MG
3–2
W
BahiavFlamengo
0–3
W
FlamengovFluminense
1–0
W
SantosvFlamengo
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21