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Premier League (England)
·
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
15th · 4 pts·LLWLD
vs
—
Ipswich
Ipswich
11th · 6 pts·WLLWL
The story

Sage targets third straight win against promoted Ipswich

Crystal Palace and Ipswich Town meet at Selhurst Park with both sides looking to climb away from the lower reaches of the table after identical starts to the campaign.

Match news & current form

Crystal Palace sit 13th with three points, currently two points and eight places off the Europa League places. After starting the season with losses to Everton and Manchester City, new manager Pierre Sage secured his first Premier League win last weekend in a 3-2 comeback victory over Fulham. The Eagles maintained that momentum midweek with a 3-0 EFL Cup win over Middlesbrough.

Ipswich Town occupy 14th place, also on three points and two points off the Europa League spots. Following an opening day win over Sunderland, they have suffered consecutive league defeats, losing 5-2 to Manchester United and 0-2 to Liverpool. Having conceded eight goals in three games, they travel to London seeking to tighten a defence that has been the most porous in the league so far.

Head-to-head history

Crystal Palace have dominated this fixture recently, winning the last five meetings on record. This includes a league double over Ipswich in the 2024-25 campaign, with both matches ending in 1-0 victories for the South London side. Palace have not beaten Ipswich in three successive league games since 1995.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Crystal Palace have won just two of their last 11 home Premier League matches.
  • Both teams have conceded eight goals so far, the highest total in the division.
  • Palace have won five consecutive matches against Ipswich dating back to 2017.
  • Tyrick Mitchell enters the game in scoring form, having netted twice in the 3-2 win against Fulham.
Key players & missing men

Ben Chilwell made an immediate impact for Palace last weekend, scoring with his first touch after replacing Tyrick Mitchell. However, the hosts are without J. Mateta, C. Riad, I. Sarr, and E. Nketiah. Ipswich travel without A. Matusiwa, J. Philogene, and J. Taylor, but will look to Anan Khalaili to continue his defensive work rate after recording 17 tackles in the early stages of the season.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Crystal Palace vs Ipswich and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Crystal Palace2.1
–
2.6Ipswich
Season average total: 4.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Crystal Palace winDrawIpswich win
Market call
Double chance : Crystal Palace or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Crystal Palace
1804
Ipswich
1640

Crystal Palace are the stronger side — 164 rating points clear of Ipswich.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Goals scored
1.10
Expected (xG)
1.48
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
IpswichIpswich
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.42
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 5 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceIpswichIpswich
1.20Goals scored / game1.40
2.20Goals conceded / game2.20
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Crystal Palace 5 games, Ipswich 5 games.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceIpswichIpswich
20%Games with a clean sheet0%
40%Games they failed to score40%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Crystal Palace
2–3
Ipswich
Crystal Palace
1–0
Ipswich
Ipswich
0–1
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
4–2
Ipswich
Ipswich
0–1
Crystal Palace
Form check

Their recent form.

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
Crystal PalacevIpswich
2–3
L
FulhamvCrystal Palace
2–3
W
Crystal PalacevManchester City
1–4
L
EvertonvCrystal Palace
2–0
L
Ipswich
Ipswich
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
EvertonvIpswich
1–0
L
Crystal PalacevIpswich
2–3
W
IpswichvLiverpool
0–2
L
Manchester UnitedvIpswich
5–2
L
IpswichvSunderland
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2