Crystal Palace aim to halt a slide that leaves them 18th after nine matches, while fifth-placed Liverpool look to rebound from domestic and European setbacks.
Crystal Palace sit 18th on seven points after an opening nine-game stretch, with pressure mounting on manager Pierre Sage following three consecutive defeats. After a heavy 5-0 loss at Brighton, Palace suffered back-to-back 2-0 defeats against Newcastle and Tottenham, leaving the side in need of a spark on home turf.
Liverpool arrive in south London sitting fifth on 15 points from their nine outings. Andoni Iraola's side fell 1-0 at home to Arsenal in their last league game and suffered late heartbreak in a 2-1 Champions League defeat at Fenerbahce in midweek, making a response vital to sustain their early-season momentum.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Liverpool are the stronger side — 107 rating points clear of Crystal Palace.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Crystal Palace 9 games, Liverpool 9 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.