Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 15h
Premier League (England)
·
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
18th · 7 pts·DWLLL
vs
—
Liverpool
Liverpool
5th · 15 pts·WLWWL
The story

Crystal Palace host Liverpool seeking to halt losing run

Crystal Palace aim to halt a slide that leaves them 18th after nine matches, while fifth-placed Liverpool look to rebound from domestic and European setbacks.

Match news & current form

Crystal Palace sit 18th on seven points after an opening nine-game stretch, with pressure mounting on manager Pierre Sage following three consecutive defeats. After a heavy 5-0 loss at Brighton, Palace suffered back-to-back 2-0 defeats against Newcastle and Tottenham, leaving the side in need of a spark on home turf.

Liverpool arrive in south London sitting fifth on 15 points from their nine outings. Andoni Iraola's side fell 1-0 at home to Arsenal in their last league game and suffered late heartbreak in a 2-1 Champions League defeat at Fenerbahce in midweek, making a response vital to sustain their early-season momentum.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these clubs have been highly competitive and full of goals. Liverpool won 3-1 in their last encounter in April 2026, but Crystal Palace took four points from them earlier that season with a 2-1 home victory and a comprehensive 3-0 win at Anfield, meaning Palace have scored in each of their last five clashes.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Crystal Palace have found the net in each of the last five head-to-head fixtures against Liverpool.
  • Liverpool suffered back-to-back defeats across all competitions entering this fixture, losing 1-0 to Arsenal and 2-1 at Fenerbahce.
  • Crystal Palace are on a three-match losing streak in the Premier League, conceding nine goals across that span.
  • Liverpool won two of their last three away league matches, edging Brentford 2-1 and Bournemouth 1-0.
Key players & missing men

Florian Wirtz acts as Liverpool's primary creative catalyst after crafting 22 chances and registering two assists so far. Crystal Palace face significant selection issues: striker Jean-Philippe Mateta is suspended following his red card against Tottenham, while Chadi Riad, Ismaila Sarr, and Takehiro Tomiyasu remain sidelined through injury, placing greater responsibility on Daichi Kamada to deliver in attack.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Crystal Palace vs Liverpool and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Crystal Palace1.1
–
2.1Liverpool
Season average total: 3.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Crystal Palace winDrawLiverpool win
Market call
Winner : Liverpool
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Crystal Palace
1804
Liverpool
1911

Liverpool are the stronger side — 107 rating points clear of Crystal Palace.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.36
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
LiverpoolLiverpool
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.64
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceLiverpoolLiverpool
1.00Goals scored / game1.22
2.33Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Crystal Palace 9 games, Liverpool 9 games.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceLiverpoolLiverpool
11%Games with a clean sheet44%
56%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Liverpool
3–1
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
0–3
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
2–1
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
2–2
Liverpool
Liverpool
1–1
Crystal Palace
Form check

Their recent form.

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
TottenhamvCrystal Palace
2–0
L
Crystal PalacevNewcastle
0–2
L
BrightonvCrystal Palace
5–0
L
Crystal PalacevNottingham Forest
3–1
W
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
Liverpool
Liverpool
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
LiverpoolvArsenal
0–1
L
LiverpoolvBrighton
2–0
W
BrentfordvLiverpool
1–2
W
LiverpoolvManchester City
0–3
L
BournemouthvLiverpool
0–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
ArsenalArsenal
9
8
0
1
+9
24
2
Manchester CityManchester City
9
7
0
2
+10
21
3
BrightonBrighton
9
6
1
2
+17
19
4
ChelseaChelsea
9
5
1
3
+4
16
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
9
4
3
2
+2
15
6
BrentfordBrentford
9
3
5
1
+7
14
7
EvertonEverton
9
3
4
2
+0
13
8
BournemouthBournemouth
9
3
3
3
+1
12
9
TottenhamTottenham
9
3
3
3
+0
12
10
Aston VillaAston Villa
9
3
3
3
-3
12
11
Hull CityHull City
9
2
5
2
+1
11
12
LeedsLeeds
9
2
5
2
+1
11
13
NewcastleNewcastle
9
3
2
4
-3
11
14
IpswichIpswich
9
3
2
4
-4
11
15
FulhamFulham
9
2
3
4
-2
9
16
CoventryCoventry
9
3
0
6
-7
9
17
Manchester UnitedManchester United
9
1
4
4
-5
7
18
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
9
2
1
6
-12
7
19
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
9
1
3
5
-6
6
20
SunderlandSunderland
9
1
2
6
-10
5