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Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
15th · 4 pts·LLWLD
vs
Manchester City
Manchester City
1st · 15 pts·WWWWW
The story

Sage eyes first win as Maresca's City visit Selhurst

Crystal Palace look to climb out of the relegation zone in their first home game of the season against a Manchester City side aiming to move into the European qualification places.

Match news & current form

Crystal Palace enter this fixture 17th in the table and inside the relegation zone after a frustrating 2-0 opening day defeat at Everton. Despite the scoreline, head coach Pierre Sage—who is still searching for his first competitive win—saw his side create four big chances, suggesting the performance was better than the result.

Manchester City sit 7th after a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth and are currently zero points off the European spots. Manager Enzo Maresca is overseeing a squad in transition, having recently navigated a pre-season where City both scored and conceded frequently, including 3-1 wins over Atletico Madrid and a K-League All Stars side.

Head-to-head history

Manchester City have dominated recent encounters, including a 3-0 victory in their last league meeting in May 2026 with goals from Antoine Semenyo, Omar Marmoush, and Savinho. However, Selhurst Park remains a difficult venue for the Citizens, where Palace’s physical midfield and counter-attacking threat have historically caused problems.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Manchester City won just two of their final five away league fixtures last season.
  • Crystal Palace generated 1.96 expected goals (xG) in their opening defeat to Everton but failed to find the net.
  • City have conceded at least once in four of their last five matches across all competitions, including pre-season.
  • The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 3-0 victory for the Manchester club.
Key players & missing men

Palace will be without defender Chadi Riad and winger Ismaila Sarr, who is sidelined with a groin injury; Dwight McNeil and Eddie Nketiah are expected to support Jean-Philippe Mateta in attack. Manchester City are missing Jeremy Doku and Elliot Anderson, though Doku is nearing a return and could feature in the following matchweek.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Crystal Palace1.0
3.0Manchester City
Season average total: 4.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Crystal Palace winDrawManchester City win
Market call
Winner : Manchester City
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Crystal Palace
1804
Manchester City
1971

Manchester City are the stronger side — 167 rating points clear of Crystal Palace.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Goals scored
1.10
Expected (xG)
1.48
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Manchester CityManchester City
Goals scored
2.40
Expected (xG)
2.14
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceManchester CityManchester City
1.20Goals scored / game2.60
2.20Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Crystal Palace 5 games, Manchester City 5 games.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceManchester CityManchester City
20%Games with a clean sheet40%
40%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Crystal Palace
1–4
Manchester City
Manchester City
3–0
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0–3
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
1–0
Manchester City
Manchester City
5–2
Crystal Palace
Form check

Their recent form.

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
Crystal PalacevIpswich
2–3
L
FulhamvCrystal Palace
2–3
W
Crystal PalacevManchester City
1–4
L
EvertonvCrystal Palace
2–0
L
Manchester City
Manchester City
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
Manchester CityvSunderland
5–3
W
Manchester UnitedvManchester City
0–1
W
Manchester CityvCoventry
1–0
W
Crystal PalacevManchester City
1–4
W
Manchester CityvBournemouth
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2