Crystal Palace look to climb out of the relegation zone in their first home game of the season against a Manchester City side aiming to move into the European qualification places.
Crystal Palace enter this fixture 17th in the table and inside the relegation zone after a frustrating 2-0 opening day defeat at Everton. Despite the scoreline, head coach Pierre Sage—who is still searching for his first competitive win—saw his side create four big chances, suggesting the performance was better than the result.
Manchester City sit 7th after a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth and are currently zero points off the European spots. Manager Enzo Maresca is overseeing a squad in transition, having recently navigated a pre-season where City both scored and conceded frequently, including 3-1 wins over Atletico Madrid and a K-League All Stars side.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Manchester City are the stronger side — 167 rating points clear of Crystal Palace.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Crystal Palace 5 games, Manchester City 5 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.