Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 21h
Premier League (England)
·
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
14th · 7 pts·WLDWL
vs
—
Newcastle
Newcastle
11th · 8 pts·DLWLL
The story

Crystal Palace host Newcastle separated by just one point

Selhurst Park hosts an early-season encounter between two sides separated by a single point after seven games, with both clubs operating under new leadership.

Match news & current form

Crystal Palace sit 14th on seven points after seven games as they continue to find their feet in the opening stages of the campaign. They returned to winning ways at Selhurst Park last time out with a 3-1 victory against Nottingham Forest, bouncing back after a goalless draw at Leeds and a high-scoring defeat to Ipswich.

Newcastle occupy 11th place with eight points from their first seven fixtures, sitting just one point above the hosts. Their recent form on the road has been bruising, suffering consecutive 4-1 away defeats against Coventry and Leeds despite picking up a 2-1 home victory over Hull City in between.

Head-to-head history

Crystal Palace claimed a 2-1 victory in the most recent meeting between the sides at Selhurst Park in April 2026. The previous five encounters on record have seen two wins for Palace, two for Newcastle, and a 1-1 draw in November 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 11 of Crystal Palace's last 13 Premier League fixtures.
  • Newcastle have conceded four goals in each of their last two away matches, losing 4-1 at both Coventry and Leeds.
  • Crystal Palace have won their last two home meetings with Newcastle by scorelines of 2-1 and 2-0.
Key players & missing men

Newcastle travel south with notable absences in their squad, missing Ewen Jaouen, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, and Valentino Livramento. The creative onus falls on Harvey Barnes, who has created 13 chances, alongside Joseph Willock in attack. Crystal Palace report no fresh injury concerns.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Crystal Palace vs Newcastle — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Crystal Palace vs Newcastle and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Crystal Palace2.3
–
2.0Newcastle
Season average total: 4.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Crystal Palace winDrawNewcastle win
Market call
Double chance : Crystal Palace or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Crystal Palace
1804
Newcastle
1838

Newcastle are the stronger side — 34 rating points clear of Crystal Palace.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Goals scored
1.20
Expected (xG)
1.37
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
NewcastleNewcastle
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.27
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceNewcastleNewcastle
1.29Goals scored / game1.43
2.43Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Crystal Palace 7 games, Newcastle 7 games.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceNewcastleNewcastle
14%Games with a clean sheet14%
43%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Crystal Palace
2–1
Newcastle
Newcastle
2–0
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
5–0
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1–1
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
2–0
Newcastle
Form check

Their recent form.

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
BrightonvCrystal Palace
5–0
L
Crystal PalacevNottingham Forest
3–1
W
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
Crystal PalacevIpswich
2–3
L
FulhamvCrystal Palace
2–3
W
Newcastle
Newcastle
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
NewcastlevAston Villa
0–1
L
CoventryvNewcastle
4–1
L
NewcastlevHull City
2–1
W
LeedsvNewcastle
4–1
L
NewcastlevBournemouth
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
7
7
0
0
+12
21
2
ArsenalArsenal
7
6
0
1
+6
18
3
BrightonBrighton
7
5
1
1
+18
16
4
ChelseaChelsea
7
4
1
2
+4
13
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
7
3
3
1
+1
12
6
BrentfordBrentford
7
2
4
1
+5
10
7
LeedsLeeds
7
2
4
1
+3
10
8
EvertonEverton
7
2
4
1
+1
10
9
Hull CityHull City
7
2
3
2
+1
9
10
IpswichIpswich
7
3
0
4
-4
9
11
NewcastleNewcastle
7
2
2
3
-4
8
12
Aston VillaAston Villa
7
2
2
3
-4
8
13
Manchester UnitedManchester United
7
1
4
2
+0
7
14
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
7
2
1
4
-8
7
15
BournemouthBournemouth
7
1
3
3
-4
6
16
TottenhamTottenham
7
1
3
3
-4
6
17
CoventryCoventry
7
2
0
5
-8
6
18
FulhamFulham
7
1
2
4
-3
5
19
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
7
1
2
4
-4
5
20
SunderlandSunderland
7
1
1
5
-8
4