Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Premier League (Russia)
·
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
4th · 22 pts·WDWWL
vs
—
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
3rd · 23 pts·LWWDW
The story

CSKA Moscow host third-placed rivals Spartak Moscow

Just one point separates CSKA Moscow and title-chasing Spartak Moscow as the capital rivals clash with 19 games still to play.

Match news & current form

CSKA Moscow sit fourth in the Premier League table on 22 points, just three behind the league leaders after 11 games. They enter this fixture with momentum after going unbeaten in their last five matches, most recently securing a 3-0 home victory over Rodina Moskva following a 3-1 away win against Dinamo Makhachkala.

Spartak Moscow occupy third place on 23 points and remain firmly in the title race, trailing the summit by two points. Their form has been mixed over the past five games with two wins, two draws, and one defeat, arriving into this derby on the back of a 1-1 away draw against Krylia Sovetov.

Head-to-head history

Recent derby meetings have been tight. Spartak Moscow edged the most recent encounter 1-0 in May 2026, matching their 1-0 victory in November 2025. However, CSKA Moscow won both clashes prior to that, claiming a 3-2 home victory in October 2025 and a 2-1 away triumph in April 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • CSKA Moscow are unbeaten in their last five matches (three wins, two draws).
  • Spartak Moscow have won just two of their last five fixtures.
  • Four of the last five meetings between the sides have been decided by a single goal.
  • CSKA Moscow scored three goals in each of their last two victories.
Key players & missing men

Both squads head into the derby in good health, with no absences reported for either CSKA Moscow or Spartak Moscow.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
CSKA Moscow1.4
–
1.1Spartak Moscow
Season average total: 2.52 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
CSKA Moscow winDrawSpartak Moscow win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Spartak Moscow
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

CSKA Moscow
1555
Spartak Moscow
1551

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CSKA MoscowCSKA MoscowSpartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1.73Goals scored / game1.91
1.09Goals conceded / game0.73
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — CSKA Moscow 11 games, Spartak Moscow 11 games.

CSKA MoscowCSKA MoscowSpartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
27%Games with a clean sheet45%
9%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Spartak Moscow
1–0
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
1–0
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
3–2
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
1–2
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
0–2
Spartak Moscow
Form check

Their recent form.

CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
DynamovCSKA Moscow
3–1
L
CSKA MoscowvRodina Moskva
3–0
W
Dinamo MakhachkalavCSKA Moscow
1–3
W
CSKA MoscowvRubin
1–1
D
ZenitvCSKA Moscow
1–2
W
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Spartak MoscowvRubin
4–0
W
Krylia SovetovvSpartak Moscow
1–1
D
Spartak MoscowvFakel
1–0
W
Spartak MoscowvFC Rostov
3–0
W
DynamovSpartak Moscow
2–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
DynamoDynamo
11
8
1
2
+9
25
2
ZenitZenit
11
8
0
3
+12
24
3
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
11
7
2
2
+13
23
4
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
11
6
4
1
+7
22
5
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
11
6
4
1
+6
22
6
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
11
2
7
2
+1
13
7
BaltikaBaltika
11
3
4
4
+2
13
8
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
11
4
1
6
-5
13
9
FC RostovFC Rostov
11
3
3
5
-6
12
10
RubinRubin
11
2
6
3
-4
12
11
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
11
2
6
3
-2
12
12
LokomotivLokomotiv
11
2
5
4
+2
11
13
AkhmatAkhmat
11
2
5
4
-1
11
14
AkronAkron
11
1
6
4
-8
9
15
FakelFakel
11
1
3
7
-11
6
16
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
11
1
3
7
-15
6