Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 6h
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
DC United
DC United
13th · 33 pts·DLWLL
vs
—
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
8th · 39 pts·LWLLW
The story

DC United host Cincinnati chasing late play-off push

With only four matches remaining in the regular season, DC United must take points at home to stay alive in the hunt for the MLS Cup play-offs.

Match news & current form

DC United enter this clash sitting 13th on 33 points, currently four places and three points adrift of the MLS Cup play-off positions. Their momentum has stalled following a 4-1 defeat away to Orlando City SC, leaving them with just one victory from their last five league outings alongside a recent 2-1 home win against the New York Red Bulls.

FC Cincinnati occupy eighth place on 39 points, holding a play-off berth by three points as the campaign nears its conclusion. However, their form has dipped with three losses in five games, most recently suffering a 2-0 home defeat against Columbus Crew which followed a 3-2 reverse at the hands of the New England Revolution.

Head-to-head history

The sides met just days ago in Cincinnati, where the hosts edged a 2-1 victory. Prior to that, DC United earned a 2-1 away triumph in May 2025 after falling 1-0 at home a month earlier.

Hot stats & streaks
  • All of DC United's last five Major League Soccer fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • There have been at least 28 total shots registered in each of DC United's last five league matches.
  • FC Cincinnati have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last eight league matches.
  • Seven of FC Cincinnati's last eight games in Major League Soccer have featured four or more goals.
Key players & missing men

DC United will look to top scorer Tai Baribo, who has struck 16 league goals this season, while playmaker Jackson Hopkins supplies the creative spark. The hosts are without H. Kijima, L. Munteanu, G. Segal and S. Johnson. Cincinnati's attack features Kevin Denkey with 17 goals alongside Evander's 13 goals and 13 assists, but the visitors are missing J. Malatini, J. Martinez, M. Robinson and E. Echenique.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
DC United2.0
–
1.7FC Cincinnati
Season average total: 3.70 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
DC United winDrawFC Cincinnati win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or FC Cincinnati
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

DC UnitedDC UnitedFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
1.27Goals scored / game2.07
1.77Goals conceded / game2.37
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — DC United 30 games, FC Cincinnati 30 games.

DC UnitedDC UnitedFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
20%Games with a clean sheet7%
30%Games they failed to score17%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

FC Cincinnati
2–1
DC United
FC Cincinnati
1–2
DC United
DC United
0–1
FC Cincinnati
DC United
2–3
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
0–0
DC United
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

DC United
H. Kijima
Out · Leg Injury
DC United
L. Munteanu
Out · Leg Injury
DC United
G. Segal
Out · Leg Injury
DC United
S. Johnson
Doubt · Leg Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

DC United
DC United
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
FC CincinnativDC United
2–1
L
Orlando City SCvDC United
4–1
L
DC UnitedvNew York Red Bulls
2–1
W
Inter MiamivDC United
4–0
L
Vancouver WhitecapsvDC United
3–3
D
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
FC CincinnativDC United
2–1
W
FC CincinnativColumbus Crew
0–2
L
FC CincinnativNew England Revolution
2–3
L
Atlanta United FCvFC Cincinnati
1–3
W
CF MontrealvFC Cincinnati
3–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
30
20
7
3
+41
67
2
Inter MiamiInter Miami
30
15
10
5
+22
55
3
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
30
16
4
10
+8
52
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
30
14
6
10
+8
48
5
CharlotteCharlotte
30
13
8
9
+8
47
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
30
13
7
10
+13
46
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
30
12
5
13
-12
41
8
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
30
10
9
11
-9
39
9
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
30
10
6
14
-17
36
10
Toronto FCToronto FC
30
8
12
10
-9
36
11
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
30
10
5
15
-1
35
12
New York City FCNew York City FC
30
8
10
12
+2
34
13
DC UnitedDC United
30
7
12
11
-15
33
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
30
8
6
16
-14
30
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
30
6
7
17
-24
25