Winlytics.AI
Full time
Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra
15th · 11 pts·DDDLD
vs
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
3rd · 28 pts·DDWDW
The story

Velez chase title lead against resilient Deportivo Riestra

Third-placed Velez Sarsfield travel to Estadio Guillermo Laza looking to close a three-point gap at the summit of the Liga Profesional against a Riestra side desperate to snap a run of inconsistent form.

Match news & current form

Deportivo Riestra enter this fixture in mixed form, having secured just one win in their last five outings—a 2-0 home victory over Estudiantes L.P. Their most recent result was a gritty 0-0 draw away at Huracan, showing a defensive resilience that was missing in their previous 2-0 defeat to Newell's Old Boys.

Velez Sarsfield remain firmly in the title race, sitting 3rd on 28 points with the leaders just three points ahead. While they are unbeaten in their last five matches, momentum has slowed with three consecutive draws against River Plate, Defensa Y Justicia, and Boca Juniors. Their last victory was a narrow 1-0 win over Independiente.

Head-to-head history

Historical data for this specific matchup is limited in the top flight, but Velez Sarsfield have generally been the more favorable side in recent seasons. However, Riestra have proven difficult to break down on their own turf, as seen in their recent home win against Estudiantes.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Velez Sarsfield are currently on a five-match unbeaten streak in the Liga Profesional.
  • Deportivo Riestra have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three home matches.
  • Velez have drawn three consecutive league games, two of which ended with a 1-1 scoreline.
  • Riestra have struggled for goals lately, failing to score in three of their last five fixtures.
Key players & missing men

P. Monje remains a focal point for Deportivo Riestra's midfield after his recent brace earlier in the campaign. Both squads appear to be at full strength for this clash, with no major injuries or suspensions reported for either side, allowing both managers to field their strongest available XIs.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Deportivo Riestra0.8
1.0Velez Sarsfield
Season average total: 1.84 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Deportivo Riestra winDrawVelez Sarsfield win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Velez Sarsfield
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo RiestraVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
0.50Goals scored / game1.22
0.85Goals conceded / game0.81
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Deportivo Riestra 26 games, Velez Sarsfield 27 games.

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo RiestraVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
38%Games with a clean sheet37%
65%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Deportivo Riestra
1–1
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
0–0
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra
2–2
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
0–1
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra
1–1
Velez Sarsfield
Form check

Their recent form.

Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 4D · 1L
Gimnasia M.vDeportivo Riestra
0–0
D
Deportivo RiestravLanus
0–3
L
PlatensevDeportivo Riestra
1–1
D
Deportivo RiestravVelez Sarsfield
1–1
D
HuracanvDeportivo Riestra
0–0
D
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
Velez SarsfieldvTigre
3–2
W
Newells Old BoysvVelez Sarsfield
1–1
D
Velez SarsfieldvEstudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
Deportivo RiestravVelez Sarsfield
1–1
D
River PlatevVelez Sarsfield
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
16
9
4
3
+12
31
2
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
16
8
6
2
+13
30
3
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
16
7
7
2
+6
28
4
Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
5
IndependienteIndependiente
16
6
6
4
+4
24
6
LanusLanus
16
6
6
4
+3
24
7
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
16
5
7
4
+0
22
8
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
16
5
6
5
+4
21
9
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
16
6
3
7
+0
21
10
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
16
4
7
5
-3
19
11
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
16
5
4
7
-8
19
12
PlatensePlatense
16
3
7
6
-5
16
13
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
16
4
4
8
-10
16
14
Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
16
3
6
7
-12
15
15
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
16
1
8
7
-7
11