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Premier League (Russia)
·
Dynamo
Dynamo
2nd · 19 pts·WWWWW
vs
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
11th · 9 pts·DDDLD
The story

Dynamo chase leaders as Orenburg seek first win

Dynamo Moscow look to maintain their title challenge against an Orenburg side attempting to break a streak of five consecutive draws.

Match news & current form

Dynamo sit 3rd on 13 points, trailing the league leaders by six with 23 games remaining. They enter this fixture in strong form, having won four of their last five matches, including a 2-1 victory over Spartak Moscow in their last home outing and a 1-0 away win at Lokomotiv.

FC Orenburg occupy 10th place with 8 points and are still finding their feet after a slow start to the campaign. While they remain difficult to beat, they are currently on a remarkable run of five straight draws, most recently a 2-2 stalemate against Akron. The club is operating under a new management phase following the departure of Vladimir Slishkovich in October 2025.

Head-to-head history

Dynamo have dominated the recent history of this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings. This includes a 2-1 victory in July 2026 and a high-scoring 5-1 win in March 2025. However, Orenburg proved they can be a threat in Moscow, securing a 3-3 draw during their visit in April 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Dynamo have won four of their last five league matches, scoring at least twice in three of those victories.
  • FC Orenburg are unbeaten in their last five games but have failed to record a single win in that period (D5).
  • The last five meetings between these sides have produced a total of 22 goals, averaging 4.4 per game.
  • Orenburg have conceded exactly one goal in four of their last five matches.
Key players & missing men

Dynamo will be without A. Kutitsky and K. Tyukavin for this clash, which may force a reshuffle in their attacking options. For the visitors, R. Mejia, M. Rudakov, and A. Tataev are all confirmed absentees. Orenburg’s attack features Brian Mansilla, a former Dynamo academy prospect, who will be looking to make an impact against his former club.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Dynamo vs FC Orenburg and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Dynamo1.3
0.6FC Orenburg
Season average total: 1.82 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Dynamo winDrawFC Orenburg win
Market call
Double chance : Dynamo or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Dynamo
1539
FC Orenburg
1343

Dynamo are the stronger side — 195 rating points clear of FC Orenburg.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

DynamoDynamoFC OrenburgFC Orenburg
1.56Goals scored / game0.78
0.89Goals conceded / game1.11
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Dynamo 9 games, FC Orenburg 9 games.

DynamoDynamoFC OrenburgFC Orenburg
44%Games with a clean sheet22%
22%Games they failed to score44%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Dynamo
1–0
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
2–1
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3–3
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
1–3
Dynamo
Dynamo
5–1
FC Orenburg
Form check

Their recent form.

Dynamo
Dynamo
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
FC RostovvDynamo
0–3
W
DynamovFC Orenburg
1–0
W
DynamovSpartak Moscow
2–1
W
LokomotivvDynamo
0–1
W
DynamovRodina Moskva
3–1
W
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 4D · 1L
FC OrenburgvFC Krasnodar
0–0
D
DynamovFC Orenburg
1–0
L
FC OrenburgvAkron
2–2
D
Spartak MoscowvFC Orenburg
1–1
D
FakelvFC Orenburg
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
9
6
3
0
+7
21
2
DynamoDynamo
9
6
1
2
+6
19
3
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
9
5
4
0
+6
19
4
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
9
6
1
2
+9
19
5
ZenitZenit
9
6
0
3
+10
18
6
RubinRubin
9
2
6
1
+1
12
7
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
9
4
0
5
-1
12
8
BaltikaBaltika
9
3
2
4
+2
11
9
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
9
2
5
2
-1
11
10
AkhmatAkhmat
9
2
4
3
+0
10
11
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
9
1
6
2
-3
9
12
FC RostovFC Rostov
9
2
2
5
-7
8
13
AkronAkron
9
1
5
3
-7
8
14
LokomotivLokomotiv
9
1
4
4
-3
7
15
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
9
1
2
6
-12
5
16
FakelFakel
9
0
3
6
-7
3