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Full time
Premier League (Russia)
·
Dynamo
Dynamo
2nd · 19 pts·WWWWW
vs
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
4th · 19 pts·WDLWW
The story

Moscow Derby stakes high as Spartak chase leaders

The Oldest Russian Derby returns to the VTB Arena with Spartak Moscow aiming to close the five-point gap on the league leaders while Dynamo fight to solidify their continental standing.

Match news & current form

Dynamo Moscow enter this clash in 6th place, currently occupying a continental qualification spot. They have found consistency in recent weeks, winning three of their last five matches, including a disciplined 1-0 away victory against Lokomotiv Moscow and a 3-1 home win over Dinamo Makhachkala.

Spartak Moscow sit 2nd in the table and remain firmly in the title race, trailing the leaders by five points with 24 games still to play. While they recently secured a statement 2-0 win over Zenit, their momentum was slightly checked last time out by a 1-1 draw against FC Orenburg. Dejan Stankovic’s side will be desperate to avoid dropping further points as they chase the summit.

Head-to-head history

Known as the Oldest Russian Derby, this fixture has recently leaned heavily in favour of the visitors. Spartak Moscow have dominated the historical head-to-head, winning five of the last six encounters against Dynamo. However, Dynamo have traditionally been strong at home, winning 11 of their last 18 matches at the VTB Arena across the previous campaign.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Spartak Moscow are currently on an undefeated run of six matches in all competitions.
  • Dynamo Moscow have struggled in recent derbies, losing five of their last six meetings with Spartak.
  • Spartak have shown defensive grit on the road, recently securing a 2-1 away win at Baltika and a 2-1 victory at Akhmat.
  • Dynamo have been prolific at home recently, scoring three goals in two of their last three matches at the VTB Arena.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength with no major absences reported in the official lists. Spartak will look to maintain the scoring form that saw them brush aside Zenit, while Dynamo rely on the defensive organisation that stifled Lokomotiv in their last outing.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Dynamo1.6
1.1Spartak Moscow
Season average total: 2.70 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Dynamo winDrawSpartak Moscow win
Market call
Double chance : Dynamo or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Dynamo
1539
Spartak Moscow
1551

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

DynamoDynamoSpartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1.56Goals scored / game1.78
0.89Goals conceded / game0.78
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Dynamo 9 games, Spartak Moscow 9 games.

DynamoDynamoSpartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
44%Games with a clean sheet44%
22%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Dynamo
2–1
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
1–0
Dynamo
Dynamo
5–2
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
1–1
Dynamo
Dynamo
2–2
Spartak Moscow
Form check

Their recent form.

Dynamo
Dynamo
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
FC RostovvDynamo
0–3
W
DynamovFC Orenburg
1–0
W
DynamovSpartak Moscow
2–1
W
LokomotivvDynamo
0–1
W
DynamovRodina Moskva
3–1
W
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Spartak MoscowvFakel
1–0
W
Spartak MoscowvFC Rostov
3–0
W
DynamovSpartak Moscow
2–1
L
Spartak MoscowvFC Orenburg
1–1
D
Spartak MoscowvZenit
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
9
6
3
0
+7
21
2
DynamoDynamo
9
6
1
2
+6
19
3
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
9
5
4
0
+6
19
4
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
9
6
1
2
+9
19
5
ZenitZenit
9
6
0
3
+10
18
6
RubinRubin
9
2
6
1
+1
12
7
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
9
4
0
5
-1
12
8
BaltikaBaltika
9
3
2
4
+2
11
9
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
9
2
5
2
-1
11
10
AkhmatAkhmat
9
2
4
3
+0
10
11
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
9
1
6
2
-3
9
12
FC RostovFC Rostov
9
2
2
5
-7
8
13
AkronAkron
9
1
5
3
-7
8
14
LokomotivLokomotiv
9
1
4
4
-3
7
15
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
9
1
2
6
-12
5
16
FakelFakel
9
0
3
6
-7
3