Winlytics.AI
Full time
World Cup (World)
·
Ecuador
Ecuador
3rd · 4 pts·LDWL
vs
Germany
Germany
1st · 6 pts·WWLD
The story

Germany chase perfect group record as Ecuador face elimination

Germany aim to secure a perfect group-stage record while Ecuador must find their first goal of the tournament to keep their knockout dreams alive.

Match news & current form

Germany sit top of the table on 6 points and have already secured qualification for the knockout stages. Julian Nagelsmann’s side has been the form team of the group, following up a 7-1 demolition of Curaçao with a professional 2-1 victory over Ivory Coast. They are now playing for national history, looking to win all three group games for only the fourth time ever.

Ecuador’s tournament is hanging by a thread after a disappointing start. Sebastián Beccacece’s men are winless and goalless following a 1-0 loss to Ivory Coast and a 0-0 draw with Curaçao. To progress, they must win this match and hope for a favourable result in the other group fixture, a difficult task for a side that has struggled for any offensive rhythm.

Head-to-head history

Germany hold a perfect record against Ecuador, winning both of their previous encounters. This includes a decisive 3-0 victory during the 2006 World Cup group stages. Ecuador have historically struggled against European sides, failing to win any of their last nine meetings with UEFA opposition.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Germany are unbeaten in their last 10 World Cup group-stage matches against South American nations (W7, D3).
  • Ecuador have failed to score a single goal in their first two matches of the 2026 World Cup.
  • Germany have conceded only five goals across their last 10 group-stage fixtures against South American opposition.
  • Ecuador are winless in their last nine encounters with European teams dating back to 2013.
Key players & missing men

Enner Valencia is on the verge of history; if he features, he will become Ecuador’s all-time record appearance holder at the World Cup, surpassing Édison Méndez. However, he has yet to find the net in 2026 despite taking eight shots. Germany will be without defender Nico Schlotterbeck, who is ruled out through injury, though Nagelsmann’s squad depth remains significant with Undav and Amiri in fine form.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Ecuador vs Germany — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Ecuador vs Germany and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages at this tournament — updates as the games are played.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game at this tournament.

EcuadorEcuadorGermanyGermany
0.50Goals scored / game2.75
1.00Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, this tournament

Every tournament game combined — Ecuador 4 games, Germany 4 games.

EcuadorEcuadorGermanyGermany
25%Games with a clean sheet0%
75%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Ecuador
2–1
Germany
Form check

Their recent form.

Ecuador
Ecuador
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 1D · 2L
MexicovEcuador
2–0
L
EcuadorvGermany
2–1
W
EcuadorvCuraçao
0–0
D
Ivory CoastvEcuador
1–0
L
Germany
Germany
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 1L
GermanyvParaguay
1–1
D
EcuadorvGermany
2–1
L
GermanyvIvory Coast
2–1
W
GermanyvCuraçao
7–1
W
World Cup 2026

The road to the final.

Twelve groups into a 32-team knockout · 72 of 72 group games played · fills in as every result lands.

Round of 3216/16
Round of 168/8
Quarter-finals4/4
Semi-finals2/2
Final1/1
GermanyGermany1 (3)
ParaguayParaguay1 (4)
Pens
FranceFrance3
SwedenSweden0
FT
South AfricaSouth Africa0
CanadaCanada1
FT
NetherlandsNetherlands1 (2)
MoroccoMorocco1 (3)
Pens
PortugalPortugal2
CroatiaCroatia1
FT
SpainSpain3
AustriaAustria0
FT
USAUSA2
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina0
FT
BelgiumBelgium3
SenegalSenegal2
AET
BrazilBrazil2
JapanJapan1
FT
Ivory CoastIvory Coast1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EcuadorEcuador0
FT
EnglandEngland2
Congo DRCongo DR1
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands2
AET
AustraliaAustralia1 (2)
EgyptEgypt1 (4)
Pens
SwitzerlandSwitzerland2
AlgeriaAlgeria0
FT
ColombiaColombia1
GhanaGhana0
FT
ParaguayParaguay0
FranceFrance1
FT
CanadaCanada0
MoroccoMorocco3
FT
PortugalPortugal0
SpainSpain1
FT
USAUSA1
BelgiumBelgium4
FT
BrazilBrazil1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EnglandEngland3
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
EgyptEgypt2
FT
SwitzerlandSwitzerland0 (4)
ColombiaColombia0 (3)
Pens
FranceFrance2
MoroccoMorocco0
FT
SpainSpain2
BelgiumBelgium1
FT
NorwayNorway1
EnglandEngland2
AET
ArgentinaArgentina3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland1
AET
FranceFrance0
SpainSpain2
FT
EnglandEngland1
ArgentinaArgentina2
FT
SpainSpain1
ArgentinaArgentina0
AET
Champions: Spain
Third place
FranceFrance4
EnglandEngland6
FT
Round of 3216/16
GermanyGermany1 (3)
ParaguayParaguay1 (4)
Pens
FranceFrance3
SwedenSweden0
FT
South AfricaSouth Africa0
CanadaCanada1
FT
NetherlandsNetherlands1 (2)
MoroccoMorocco1 (3)
Pens
PortugalPortugal2
CroatiaCroatia1
FT
SpainSpain3
AustriaAustria0
FT
USAUSA2
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina0
FT
BelgiumBelgium3
SenegalSenegal2
AET
BrazilBrazil2
JapanJapan1
FT
Ivory CoastIvory Coast1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EcuadorEcuador0
FT
EnglandEngland2
Congo DRCongo DR1
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands2
AET
AustraliaAustralia1 (2)
EgyptEgypt1 (4)
Pens
SwitzerlandSwitzerland2
AlgeriaAlgeria0
FT
ColombiaColombia1
GhanaGhana0
FT
Round of 168/8
ParaguayParaguay0
FranceFrance1
FT
CanadaCanada0
MoroccoMorocco3
FT
PortugalPortugal0
SpainSpain1
FT
USAUSA1
BelgiumBelgium4
FT
BrazilBrazil1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EnglandEngland3
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
EgyptEgypt2
FT
SwitzerlandSwitzerland0 (4)
ColombiaColombia0 (3)
Pens
Quarter-finals4/4
FranceFrance2
MoroccoMorocco0
FT
SpainSpain2
BelgiumBelgium1
FT
NorwayNorway1
EnglandEngland2
AET
ArgentinaArgentina3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland1
AET
Semi-finals2/2
FranceFrance0
SpainSpain2
FT
EnglandEngland1
ArgentinaArgentina2
FT
Final1/1
SpainSpain1
ArgentinaArgentina0
AET
Third place1/1
FranceFrance4
EnglandEngland6
FT