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Full time
La Liga (Spain)
·
Elche
Elche
17th · 10 pts·LWDDW
vs
—
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
5th · 19 pts·LWWWW
The story

Anselmi hunts first win against inconsistent Real Sociedad

A desperate Elche side look to escape the relegation zone against a Real Sociedad team still searching for their clinical edge.

Match news & current form

Elche enter this fixture 19th in the table with just one point from their opening three matches. Manager Martín Anselmi is under immediate pressure to shore up a defence that has shipped nine goals already, including a 5-0 hammering by Barcelona. However, a spirited late rally in their 3-2 loss to Racing Santander last week, where they scored twice in two minutes, suggests the squad is still fighting for their manager.

Real Sociedad sit 13th with four points, only three points above the drop zone. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side steadied the ship with a 0-0 draw against Celta Vigo last time out, but they have struggled on the road, suffering heavy defeats at Real Madrid and Real Betis. Survival is far from secured, and Matarazzo needs his side to find the back of the net more consistently after scoring just three times in four outings.

Head-to-head history

Real Sociedad have traditionally held the upper hand in this fixture, winning the most recent meeting decisively. However, Elche have proven resilient at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in the past, and with Sociedad currently struggling for away momentum, the historical gap may narrow on Monday night.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Elche have lost their last two La Liga matches but scored twice in their most recent outing.
  • Real Sociedad have won just once in their opening four league fixtures.
  • Only two of Real Sociedad's last nine league matches have produced more than four goals.
  • Elche have conceded more goals (9) than any other team in the division after three games.
Key players & missing men

Buba Sangaré and Fer Niño are pushing for starts for Elche after both found the net as substitutes against Racing Santander. The hosts remain without Y. Santiago, A. Boayar, and Thomas Lemar. Real Sociedad face a defensive crisis with Alvaro Odriozola (ACL) and Jon Pacheco both sidelined. Midfielder Pablo Marín is set to miss his fourth consecutive match, leaving Carlos Soler and Luka Sucic to carry the creative burden.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Elche1.5
–
2.3Real Sociedad
Season average total: 3.77 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Elche winDrawReal Sociedad win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Real Sociedad
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Elche
1623
Real Sociedad
1669

Real Sociedad are the stronger side — 46 rating points clear of Elche.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

ElcheElche
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.32
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Goals scored
1.90
Expected (xG)
1.62
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ElcheElcheReal SociedadReal Sociedad
1.27Goals scored / game1.82
1.64Goals conceded / game1.82
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Elche 11 games, Real Sociedad 11 games.

ElcheElcheReal SociedadReal Sociedad
27%Games with a clean sheet9%
36%Games they failed to score27%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Elche
2–3
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
3–1
Elche
Elche
1–1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
2–0
Elche
Elche
0–1
Real Sociedad
Form check

Their recent form.

Elche
Elche
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Rayo VallecanovElche
0–3
W
VillarrealvElche
0–0
D
ElchevCelta Vigo
0–0
D
EspanyolvElche
1–3
W
ElchevReal Madrid
2–3
L
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Real SociedadvLevante
2–1
W
MalagavReal Sociedad
2–5
W
Real SociedadvDeportivo La Coruna
3–2
W
ValenciavReal Sociedad
2–3
W
Real SociedadvAtletico Madrid
0–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
11
10
0
1
+34
30
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
11
9
1
1
+14
28
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
11
9
0
2
+18
27
4
Real BetisReal Betis
11
7
2
2
+3
23
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
11
6
1
4
+0
19
6
SevillaSevilla
11
5
2
4
-2
17
7
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
10
4
3
3
+4
15
8
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
11
3
5
3
+1
14
9
VillarrealVillarreal
11
3
3
5
+0
12
10
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
11
2
6
3
+0
12
11
AlavesAlaves
11
3
3
5
-2
12
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
10
3
3
4
-5
12
13
GetafeGetafe
11
3
3
5
-8
12
14
EspanyolEspanyol
11
3
2
6
-1
11
15
OsasunaOsasuna
11
3
2
6
-11
11
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
11
3
2
6
-14
11
17
ElcheElche
11
2
4
5
-4
10
18
LevanteLevante
11
2
4
5
-5
10
19
ValenciaValencia
11
2
3
6
-9
9
20
MalagaMalaga
11
0
5
6
-13
5