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La Liga (Spain)
·
Elche
Elche
18th · 5 pts·LLDLW
vs
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
8th · 10 pts·WDWLW
The story

Anselmi hunts first win against inconsistent Real Sociedad

A desperate Elche side look to escape the relegation zone against a Real Sociedad team still searching for their clinical edge.

Match news & current form

Elche enter this fixture 19th in the table with just one point from their opening three matches. Manager Martín Anselmi is under immediate pressure to shore up a defence that has shipped nine goals already, including a 5-0 hammering by Barcelona. However, a spirited late rally in their 3-2 loss to Racing Santander last week, where they scored twice in two minutes, suggests the squad is still fighting for their manager.

Real Sociedad sit 13th with four points, only three points above the drop zone. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side steadied the ship with a 0-0 draw against Celta Vigo last time out, but they have struggled on the road, suffering heavy defeats at Real Madrid and Real Betis. Survival is far from secured, and Matarazzo needs his side to find the back of the net more consistently after scoring just three times in four outings.

Head-to-head history

Real Sociedad have traditionally held the upper hand in this fixture, winning the most recent meeting decisively. However, Elche have proven resilient at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in the past, and with Sociedad currently struggling for away momentum, the historical gap may narrow on Monday night.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Elche have lost their last two La Liga matches but scored twice in their most recent outing.
  • Real Sociedad have won just once in their opening four league fixtures.
  • Only two of Real Sociedad's last nine league matches have produced more than four goals.
  • Elche have conceded more goals (9) than any other team in the division after three games.
Key players & missing men

Buba Sangaré and Fer Niño are pushing for starts for Elche after both found the net as substitutes against Racing Santander. The hosts remain without Y. Santiago, A. Boayar, and Thomas Lemar. Real Sociedad face a defensive crisis with Alvaro Odriozola (ACL) and Jon Pacheco both sidelined. Midfielder Pablo Marín is set to miss his fourth consecutive match, leaving Carlos Soler and Luka Sucic to carry the creative burden.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Elche1.8
2.7Real Sociedad
Season average total: 4.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Elche winDrawReal Sociedad win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Real Sociedad
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Elche
1623
Real Sociedad
1669

Real Sociedad are the stronger side — 46 rating points clear of Elche.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

ElcheElche
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.14
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.24
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ElcheElcheReal SociedadReal Sociedad
1.57Goals scored / game1.29
2.43Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Elche 7 games, Real Sociedad 7 games.

ElcheElcheReal SociedadReal Sociedad
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
14%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Elche
2–3
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
3–1
Elche
Elche
1–1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
2–0
Elche
Elche
0–1
Real Sociedad
Form check

Their recent form.

Elche
Elche
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
EspanyolvElche
1–3
W
ElchevReal Madrid
2–3
L
Athletic ClubvElche
1–1
D
ElchevReal Sociedad
2–3
L
Racing SantandervElche
3–2
L
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
ValenciavReal Sociedad
2–3
W
Real SociedadvAtletico Madrid
0–3
L
ElchevReal Sociedad
2–3
W
Real SociedadvCelta Vigo
0–0
D
Real SociedadvEspanyol
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
7
7
0
0
+24
21
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
7
5
1
1
+9
16
3
Real BetisReal Betis
7
5
1
1
+2
16
4
Real MadridReal Madrid
7
5
0
2
+10
15
5
SevillaSevilla
7
4
1
2
+1
13
6
AlavesAlaves
7
3
2
2
+5
11
7
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
7
2
4
1
+2
10
8
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
7
3
1
3
-4
10
9
VillarrealVillarreal
7
2
2
3
+1
8
10
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
6
2
2
2
+1
8
11
GetafeGetafe
7
2
2
3
-3
8
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
7
2
2
3
-5
8
13
OsasunaOsasuna
7
2
2
3
-7
8
14
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
7
1
4
2
+2
7
15
EspanyolEspanyol
7
2
1
4
+0
7
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
7
2
1
4
-10
7
17
LevanteLevante
6
1
2
3
-4
5
18
ElcheElche
7
1
2
4
-6
5
19
ValenciaValencia
7
1
1
5
-9
4
20
MalagaMalaga
7
0
3
4
-9
3