Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
La Liga (Spain)
·
Elche
Elche
15th · 10 pts·LWDDW
vs
—
Valencia
Valencia
19th · 6 pts·WLDDL
The story

Elche host Valencia aiming to stretch early four-point lead

Separated by four points after 10 matches, Elche seek to consolidate their mid-table standing while slow-starting Valencia look to close the gap at Estadio Martinez Valero.

Match news & current form

Elche sit 15th on 10 points after 10 games, having enjoyed an encouraging recent spell with only one defeat in their last five outings (W2 D2 L1). They arrive full of confidence following an impressive 3-0 away victory against Rayo Vallecano, which followed back-to-back goalless draws against Villarreal and Celta Vigo.

Valencia sit 19th on six points after 10 games following a slow start to the campaign. With only one win in their last five matches (W1 D2 L2), they enter this fixture looking to rebound from a 2-1 home defeat against Villarreal, having previously secured points in draws against Athletic Club and Racing Santander.

Head-to-head history

Elche secured a 1-0 victory in the most recent meeting between these sides in April 2026, following a 1-1 draw earlier that year. Prior to that, Valencia enjoyed the upper hand in the fixture, winning 2-0 at the Estadio Martinez Valero in April 2023.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Elche are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions (W2 D2).
  • Valencia have won three of their last six away fixtures in La Liga.
  • Elche kept clean sheets in three of their last four league matches.
  • The last two head-to-head meetings produced under 2.5 goals (1-0 and 1-1).
Key players & missing men

Both squads head into Sunday's clash in good health, with no major injuries or suspensions reported from either camp, allowing both managers to name full-strength starting line-ups.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Elche1.3
–
1.9Valencia
Season average total: 3.13 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Elche winDrawValencia win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Valencia
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Elche
1623
Valencia
1697

Valencia are the stronger side — 74 rating points clear of Elche.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

ElcheElche
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.32
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
ValenciaValencia
Goals scored
0.70
Expected (xG)
1.09
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ElcheElcheValenciaValencia
1.40Goals scored / game0.70
1.70Goals conceded / game1.70
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Elche 10 games, Valencia 10 games.

ElcheElcheValenciaValencia
30%Games with a clean sheet30%
30%Games they failed to score50%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Elche
1–0
Valencia
Valencia
1–1
Elche
Elche
0–2
Valencia
Valencia
2–2
Elche
Elche
0–1
Valencia
Form check

Their recent form.

Elche
Elche
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Rayo VallecanovElche
0–3
W
VillarrealvElche
0–0
D
ElchevCelta Vigo
0–0
D
EspanyolvElche
1–3
W
ElchevReal Madrid
2–3
L
Valencia
Valencia
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
ValenciavVillarreal
1–2
L
ValenciavAthletic Club
0–0
D
Racing SantandervValencia
2–2
D
ValenciavReal Sociedad
2–3
L
AlavesvValencia
0–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
10
9
0
1
+29
27
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
10
8
1
1
+12
25
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
10
8
0
2
+15
24
4
Real BetisReal Betis
10
6
2
2
+2
20
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
10
6
1
3
+1
19
6
SevillaSevilla
10
5
2
3
+0
17
7
AlavesAlaves
10
3
3
4
+3
12
8
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
9
3
3
3
+3
12
9
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
10
2
6
2
+3
12
10
VillarrealVillarreal
10
3
3
4
+1
12
11
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
10
2
5
3
+0
11
12
OsasunaOsasuna
10
3
2
5
-10
11
13
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
10
3
2
5
-11
11
14
LevanteLevante
10
2
4
4
-3
10
15
ElcheElche
10
2
4
4
-3
10
16
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
9
2
3
4
-8
9
17
GetafeGetafe
10
2
3
5
-10
9
18
EspanyolEspanyol
10
2
2
6
-2
8
19
ValenciaValencia
10
1
3
6
-10
6
20
MalagaMalaga
10
0
5
5
-12
5