Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Empoli
Empoli
13th · 6 pts·WLWLL
vs
—
Palermo
Palermo
1st · 13 pts·WWWDW
The story

Empoli host league leaders Palermo at the Castellani

Pippo Inzaghi takes pacesetters Palermo to the Carlo Castellani looking to protect top spot against an Empoli side finding their feet under a new coaching staff.

Match news & current form

Empoli sit 13th with six points after five games and are looking to rebound from consecutive defeats against Arezzo (0-1) and Modena (1-2). Restarting with a new coaching staff, the Tuscan outfit have had a mixed opening run (W2, L3) and will rely on home advantage to reset their campaign.

Palermo lead the division after an impressive five-game start, sitting first with 13 points from a possible 15. Inzaghi's side edged Padova 2-1 before the international break, extending their unbeaten league sequence to four wins and a draw.

Head-to-head history

Palermo held the upper hand in the 2025-26 meetings between these two clubs, winning 3-1 at the Castellani in December 2025 before securing a 3-2 victory in Sicily in February 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Palermo are unbeaten across their opening five league fixtures (W4, D1).
  • Empoli have won two of their three home matches this season across all competitions.
  • The last two head-to-head encounters produced nine total goals, with Palermo winning both.
Key players & missing men

Empoli are managing knocks for their attacking line, though Bogdan Popov is set to start up front with support from Distefano or Saporiti. Palermo travel without injured goalkeeper Jesse Joronen and attacker Gabriel Strefezza, while Emmanuel Gyasi missed training time leading into the fixture.

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We have published a signal on Empoli vs Palermo — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Empoli vs Palermo and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Empoli1.0
–
1.3Palermo
Season average total: 2.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Empoli winDrawPalermo win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Palermo
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Empoli
1423
Palermo
1514

Palermo are the stronger side — 91 rating points clear of Empoli.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

EmpoliEmpoliPalermoPalermo
0.80Goals scored / game2.00
1.20Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Empoli 5 games, Palermo 5 games.

EmpoliEmpoliPalermoPalermo
40%Games with a clean sheet20%
20%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Palermo
3–2
Empoli
Empoli
1–3
Palermo
Empoli
4–0
Palermo
Palermo
3–3
Empoli
Palermo
2–1
Empoli
Form check

Their recent form.

Empoli
Empoli
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
ModenavEmpoli
2–1
L
EmpolivArezzo
0–1
L
CarraresevEmpoli
0–1
W
MantovavEmpoli
3–1
L
EmpolivCremonese
1–0
W
Palermo
Palermo
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
PalermovPadova
2–1
W
AvellinovPalermo
1–1
D
PalermovSampdoria
3–1
W
ArezzovPalermo
2–3
W
PalermovJuve Stabia
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
SudtirolSudtirol
5
3
2
0
+6
11
3
MantovaMantova
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
ModenaModena
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
AscoliAscoli
5
3
1
1
+3
10
6
PadovaPadova
5
2
1
2
-1
7
7
BeneventoBenevento
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
5
2
1
2
+3
7
9
AvellinoAvellino
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
CesenaCesena
5
1
4
0
+1
7
11
PisaPisa
5
2
1
2
+0
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
5
2
0
3
-7
6
13
EmpoliEmpoli
5
2
0
3
-2
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
5
1
2
2
+1
5
15
CremoneseCremonese
5
1
2
2
-2
5
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
5
1
2
2
-3
5
17
SampdoriaSampdoria
5
1
1
3
-4
4
18
CatanzaroCatanzaro
5
1
0
4
-4
3
19
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
5
1
2
2
-3
1
20
CarrareseCarrarese
5
0
1
4
-4
1