Winlytics.AI
Full time
Süper Lig (Turkey)
·
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
14th · 7 pts·LDWLW
vs
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
16th · 4 pts·WLLLL
The story

Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor meet tied on four points

Both sides enter this sixth-round fixture level on points and looking to find consistency after slow starts to the campaign.

Match news & current form

Erzurumspor FK sit 16th in the table after five matches, having collected four points. They are looking to recalibrate after a heavy 3-0 defeat away to Besiktas last weekend. While they have struggled for goals, failing to score in three of their five outings, their solitary victory this season came at home against Konyaspor.

Samsunspor occupy 14th place, also on four points, but arrive in Erzurum on the back of three straight defeats. Thorsten Fink’s side suffered a demoralising 5-1 loss at home to Corum FK in their last match and have struggled to replicate the form that saw them finish seventh last season.

Head-to-head history

Samsunspor have historically dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last seven official meetings with Erzurumspor FK. The most recent encounter in January 2023 ended in a 2-1 victory for Samsunspor, while the last meeting at Erzurum finished in a 2-2 draw in August 2022.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Erzurumspor FK are yet to win an official match against Samsunspor in seven attempts.
  • Under 3.5 goals has landed in 12 of Erzurumspor's last 13 matches.
  • Samsunspor have conceded eight goals across their last three league games.
  • Erzurumspor FK went unbeaten at home throughout the entirety of the previous First League season.
Key players & missing men

Striker Eren Tozlu is the focal point for the hosts, having scored both of Erzurumspor's goals so far this season. Samsunspor, meanwhile, are dealing with a significant injury list in the middle of the park; Afonso Sousa, Tanguy Coulibaly, and Jaures Assoumou are all sidelined, alongside F. Kaya, E. Tavsan, and E. Watt.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Erzurumspor FK0.7
1.0Samsunspor
Season average total: 1.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Erzurumspor FK winDrawSamsunspor win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Samsunspor
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FKSamsunsporSamsunspor
0.50Goals scored / game1.00
1.83Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Erzurumspor FK 6 games, Samsunspor 6 games.

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FKSamsunsporSamsunspor
33%Games with a clean sheet17%
50%Games they failed to score50%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Erzurumspor FK
1–0
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
2–1
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
2–2
Samsunspor
Erzurumspor FK
1–2
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
0–0
Erzurumspor FK
Form check

Their recent form.

Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Erzurumspor FKvSamsunspor
1–0
W
BeşiktaşvErzurumspor FK
3–0
L
Erzurumspor FKvKonyaspor
1–0
W
Gençlerbirliği S.K.vErzurumspor FK
1–1
D
Erzurumspor FKvGalatasaray
0–4
L
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Erzurumspor FKvSamsunspor
1–0
L
SamsunsporvÇorum FK
1–5
L
KocaelisporvSamsunspor
1–0
L
SamsunsporvFenerbahçe
0–2
L
RizesporvSamsunspor
0–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Süper Lig (Turkey) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AmedAmed
6
4
1
1
+8
13
2
GalatasarayGalatasaray
6
4
1
1
+3
13
3
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
6
4
0
2
+7
12
4
KocaelisporKocaelispor
6
4
0
2
+3
12
5
AlanyasporAlanyaspor
6
3
2
1
+2
11
6
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
6
3
1
2
+10
10
7
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
6
3
1
2
+8
10
8
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
6
2
4
0
+2
10
9
RizesporRizespor
6
3
1
2
+1
10
10
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
6
2
2
2
+0
8
11
Çorum FKÇorum FK
6
2
1
3
+1
7
12
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
6
2
1
3
-1
7
13
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6
2
1
3
-8
7
14
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
6
2
1
3
-8
7
15
KonyasporKonyaspor
6
1
1
4
-4
4
16
SamsunsporSamsunspor
6
1
1
4
-6
4
17
GöztepeGöztepe
6
0
3
3
-4
3
18
EyüpsporEyüpspor
6
1
0
5
-14
3