Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 17h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
17th · 5 pts·LLLLD
vs
—
Le Mans
Le Mans
15th · 7 pts·DWLLD
The story

Troyes host Le Mans searching for vital league points

With both newly promoted clubs finding their feet after eight matches, Saturday offers an immediate opening to claim valuable top-flight ground.

Match news & current form

Estac Troyes sit 17th with five points after eight games, having halted a losing run with a 0-0 draw away at Toulouse last time out. Stephane Dumont's side are still looking for their first league victory at Stade de l'Aube this season and will be eager to capitalise here before facing a testing trip to Paris Saint-Germain.

Le Mans occupy 15th place on seven points after eight matches, arriving off the back of a 0-3 home defeat against Toulouse and a 1-3 loss at Paris Saint-Germain. Patrick Videira's men are seeking their first away league win of the campaign, with their porous backline conceding across 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Head-to-head history

Le Mans went unbeaten against Troyes across last season's promotion campaign, securing a 2-0 victory at the Stade de l'Aube in their most recent meeting on 2026-01-31 after drawing 2-2 in the reverse fixture. Troyes had won the prior two meetings, edging both clashes 2-1 in 2019 and 2012.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Le Mans have conceded at least once in 11 consecutive fixtures in all competitions.
  • Le Mans are aiming to record back-to-back victories at Stade de l'Aube for only the second time this century.
  • Troyes have lost only one of their last five overall head-to-head meetings against Le Mans.
  • Troyes have won both competitive matches this century where they scored first against Le Mans at home.
Key players & missing men

Troyes will be without Y. Kone and A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans travel with significant defensive headaches, missing both goalscorers from January's 2-0 win, Erwan Colas and Harold Voyer, alongside Yasser Larouci, who is sidelined with a groin injury, plus A. Bourabaa and D. Sidibe.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Estac Troyes1.4
–
2.0Le Mans
Season average total: 3.38 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Estac Troyes winDrawLe Mans win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Le Mans
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

No xG data for Estac Troyes
Le MansLe Mans
Goals scored
1.38
Expected (xG)
1.52
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 8 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Estac TroyesEstac TroyesLe MansLe Mans
0.63Goals scored / game1.38
2.00Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Estac Troyes 8 games, Le Mans 8 games.

Estac TroyesEstac TroyesLe MansLe Mans
25%Games with a clean sheet0%
63%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Estac Troyes
0–2
Le Mans
Le Mans
2–2
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
—
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
2–1
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
2–1
Le Mans
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Estac Troyes
Y. Kone
Out · Knee Injury
Estac Troyes
A. Ouzenadji
Out · Knee Injury
Le Mans
A. Bourabaa
Out · Ankle Injury
Le Mans
D. Sidibe
Out · Foot Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
ToulousevEstac Troyes
0–0
D
Estac TroyesvLens
1–3
L
Estac TroyesvMarseille
0–2
L
AngersvEstac Troyes
2–0
L
LillevEstac Troyes
2–0
L
Le Mans
Le Mans
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
AuxerrevLe Mans
1–1
D
Le MansvToulouse
0–3
L
Paris Saint GermainvLe Mans
3–1
L
Le MansvLorient
2–1
W
Le MansvLens
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
8
5
2
1
+7
17
2
RennesRennes
8
5
1
2
+4
16
3
LilleLille
8
4
3
1
+5
15
4
MonacoMonaco
8
4
3
1
+4
15
5
LyonLyon
8
4
2
2
+6
14
6
Paris FCParis FC
8
4
2
2
+4
14
7
LensLens
8
4
1
3
+4
13
8
MarseilleMarseille
8
4
0
4
+5
12
9
LorientLorient
8
3
3
2
+1
12
10
NiceNice
8
3
2
3
-2
11
11
ToulouseToulouse
8
2
4
2
+1
10
12
AuxerreAuxerre
8
3
1
4
-6
10
13
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
8
2
3
3
+2
9
14
AngersAngers
8
2
2
4
-6
8
15
Le MansLe Mans
8
1
4
3
-5
7
16
StrasbourgStrasbourg
8
2
1
5
-6
7
17
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
8
1
2
5
-11
5
18
Le HavreLe Havre
8
0
2
6
-7
2