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Ligue 1 (France)
·
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
16th · 4 pts·DWLLL
vs
—
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
8th · 7 pts·LWWDL
The story

Promoted Troyes look to extend unbeaten start against Strasbourg

Newly-promoted Troyes aim to cement their surprise European berth against a Strasbourg side desperate to recover from early-season inconsistency.

Match news & current form

Estac Troyes have enjoyed a near-flawless return to Ligue 1 under Stephane Dumont, sitting 6th with four points from their opening two fixtures. After a gritty 0-0 draw with Paris FC, they secured a statement 2-1 away victory against Lorient last weekend. Having won promotion as Ligue 2 champions, Troyes are currently holding a continental qualification place and look to maintain the momentum from an unbeaten six-match pre-season.

Strasbourg arrive at the Stade de l'Aube in 10th place, just one point off the European spots they narrowly missed out on last season. Hugo Oliveira’s side bounced back from a bruising 4-0 loss at Marseille to beat Lens 2-1 last time out. Their primary objective this term is a return to continental competition after finishing just one point shy of the UEFA Conference League spots in the 2025-26 campaign.

Head-to-head history

While Strasbourg have historically dominated this fixture with 18 wins from 35 meetings, recent history favors the hosts. Troyes enter this clash unbeaten in their last four encounters against Strasbourg, a streak they will look to protect as they host top-flight football for the first time in three years.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Troyes are unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions, including pre-season.
  • Renaud Ripart has scored three goals in his last four appearances for Troyes.
  • Strasbourg have failed to win any of their last four meetings with Troyes.
  • Troyes have conceded less than one goal per match on average since the start of their pre-season campaign.
Key players & missing men

Renaud Ripart is the man in form for the hosts, looking to replicate the double-digit scoring form he last produced for Nimes. Troyes will be without Ismael Boura (hip) and Yvann Titi (muscle), while Samir El Mourabet serves the final game of a suspension. Strasbourg face a significant blow with last season's top scorer Joaquin Panichelli ruled out until December with a cruciate ligament injury.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Estac Troyes1.8
–
2.7Strasbourg
Season average total: 4.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Estac Troyes winDrawStrasbourg win
Market call
Double chance : Estac Troyes or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

No xG data for Estac Troyes
StrasbourgStrasbourg
Goals scored
2.20
Expected (xG)
1.45
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Estac TroyesEstac TroyesStrasbourgStrasbourg
1.00Goals scored / game2.00
2.25Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Estac Troyes 4 games, Strasbourg 5 games.

Estac TroyesEstac TroyesStrasbourgStrasbourg
25%Games with a clean sheet0%
50%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Estac Troyes
2–6
Strasbourg
Estac Troyes
1–1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2–3
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
1–1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1–1
Estac Troyes
Form check

Their recent form.

Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
AngersvEstac Troyes
2–0
L
LillevEstac Troyes
2–0
L
Estac TroyesvStrasbourg
2–6
L
LorientvEstac Troyes
1–2
W
Estac TroyesvParis FC
0–0
D
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Paris FCvStrasbourg
2–1
L
StrasbourgvMonaco
1–1
D
Estac TroyesvStrasbourg
2–6
W
StrasbourgvLens
2–1
W
MarseillevStrasbourg
4–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2