Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Premier League (England)
·
Everton
Everton
5th · 10 pts·DDDWD
vs
—
Chelsea
Chelsea
6th · 10 pts·WLDLW
The story

Everton host Chelsea with both sides locked on points

With both sides locked on 10 points after six games, fifth-placed Everton welcome sixth-placed Chelsea aiming to preserve their solid start to the campaign.

Match news & current form

Everton sit fifth on 10 points after six games, having made a good start to the campaign with two wins and three draws across their last five league fixtures. David Moyes's side edged Ipswich 1-0 in their most recent home match and have proven difficult to break down, also taking points off Tottenham and Manchester United during this unbeaten run.

Chelsea occupy sixth on 10 points after six games, experiencing a more erratic start with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five. They arrive on Merseyside looking to bounce back from a comprehensive 3-0 defeat at Brentford and a 2-2 draw with Hull City in recent outings.

Head-to-head history

Everton secured a commanding 3-0 victory in the most recent meeting between the clubs in March 2026. However, Chelsea hold the upper hand over the broader series, having won 2-0 and 1-0 in the two prior encounters during 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Chelsea are on a 22-match streak in the Premier League without keeping a clean sheet.
  • Everton are unbeaten in their last five league matches (W2, D3).
  • Chelsea have conceded seven goals across their last three matches, including a 3-0 defeat at Brentford.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported any fresh absences heading into the fixture. For Everton, striker Thierno Barry offers a focal point on the counter alongside Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall. Chelsea depend heavily on Cole Palmer, who has contributed two goals and three assists this season, alongside Pedro Neto and midfielder Moisés Caicedo.

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We have published a signal on Everton vs Chelsea — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Everton vs Chelsea and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Everton2.0
–
1.0Chelsea
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Everton winDrawChelsea win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Chelsea
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Everton
1803
Chelsea
1831

Chelsea are the stronger side — 28 rating points clear of Everton.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

EvertonEverton
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.65
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
ChelseaChelsea
Goals scored
2.00
Expected (xG)
1.51
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

EvertonEvertonChelseaChelsea
1.33Goals scored / game2.50
0.83Goals conceded / game2.17
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Everton 6 games, Chelsea 6 games.

EvertonEvertonChelseaChelsea
50%Games with a clean sheet0%
17%Games they failed to score17%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Everton
3–0
Chelsea
Chelsea
2–0
Everton
Chelsea
1–0
Everton
Everton
0–0
Chelsea
Chelsea
6–0
Everton
Form check

Their recent form.

Everton
Everton
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Hull CityvEverton
2–2
D
EvertonvIpswich
1–0
W
TottenhamvEverton
0–0
D
EvertonvManchester United
2–2
D
BournemouthvEverton
1–1
D
Chelsea
Chelsea
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
ChelseavBournemouth
5–1
W
BrentfordvChelsea
3–0
L
ChelseavHull City
2–2
D
ArsenalvChelsea
2–1
L
ChelseavBrighton
4–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
6
6
0
0
+11
18
2
ArsenalArsenal
6
5
0
1
+5
15
3
BrightonBrighton
6
4
1
1
+13
13
4
BrentfordBrentford
6
2
4
0
+6
10
5
EvertonEverton
6
2
4
0
+3
10
6
ChelseaChelsea
6
3
1
2
+2
10
7
LeedsLeeds
6
2
3
1
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
6
2
3
1
+2
9
9
LiverpoolLiverpool
6
2
3
1
+0
9
10
IpswichIpswich
6
3
0
3
-3
9
11
NewcastleNewcastle
6
2
2
2
-3
8
12
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
6
2
1
3
-3
7
13
Manchester UnitedManchester United
6
1
3
2
+0
6
14
CoventryCoventry
6
2
0
4
-6
6
15
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
6
1
2
3
-3
5
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
6
1
2
3
-5
5
17
SunderlandSunderland
6
1
1
4
-6
4
18
BournemouthBournemouth
6
0
3
3
-6
3
19
TottenhamTottenham
6
0
3
3
-6
3
20
FulhamFulham
6
0
2
4
-4
2