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Primeira Liga (Portugal)
·
Famalicao
Famalicao
11th · 10 pts·DWLWL
vs
—
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
7th · 15 pts·LDWWL
The story

Famalicao defend home fortress against high-flying Gil Vicente

Famalicao aim to climb out of the relegation zone by extending their formidable home run against a Gil Vicente side currently occupying a continental qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Famalicao enter this Minho derby sitting 14th with just one point, desperately needing a result to escape the early-season relegation scrap. Despite their league position, Hugo Oliveira's side boasts a flawless recent home record, having gone nine league matches without defeat at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, including six wins in that period.

Gil Vicente occupy 5th place with six points and are currently holding a European qualification berth. While Cesar Peixoto’s men secured back-to-back wins against Casa Pia and Rio Ave, they recently struggled on the road, failing to score in a 2-0 defeat to Porto which ended a five-game scoring streak.

Head-to-head history

Famalicao have held the upper hand in recent encounters, remaining unbeaten in their last five meetings with Gil Vicente. The Barcelos-based visitors have failed to win this fixture since February 2023, though they did manage to secure a point on their last visit to the Municipal.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Famalicao are unbeaten in nine consecutive home league matches.
  • Gil Vicente have failed to win any of their last five matches against Famalicao.
  • Gil Vicente's five-game scoring streak was snapped in their last away outing.
  • Famalicao kept a clean sheet in the most recent meeting between these two sides (2-0 win).
Key players & missing men

Simon Elisor is expected to lead the line for Famalicao after netting the decisive goal in their last outing. However, the hosts remain without Rafa Soares, Rochinha, and Oscar Aranda, the latter sidelined with a long-term cruciate injury. Gil Vicente will be without Tidjany Toure, Arthur Tchaptchet, and Walace Franca, though Hevertton Santos is fit to return to the defensive line.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Famalicao vs GIL Vicente and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Famalicao0.9
–
1.4GIL Vicente
Season average total: 2.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Famalicao winDrawGIL Vicente win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or GIL Vicente
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Famalicao
1591
GIL Vicente
1508

Famalicao are the stronger side — 83 rating points clear of GIL Vicente.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FamalicaoFamalicaoGIL VicenteGIL Vicente
1.40Goals scored / game0.89
1.40Goals conceded / game0.78
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Famalicao 10 games, GIL Vicente 9 games.

FamalicaoFamalicaoGIL VicenteGIL Vicente
30%Games with a clean sheet44%
30%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Famalicao
0–0
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
5–0
Famalicao
Famalicao
0–0
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
—
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
0–2
Famalicao
Form check

Their recent form.

Famalicao
Famalicao
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
SC BragavFamalicao
3–0
L
Rio AvevFamalicao
0–4
W
FamalicaovAlverca
1–4
L
NacionalvFamalicao
0–4
W
FamalicaovSporting CP
1–1
D
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
GIL VicentevFC Porto
0–1
L
SC BragavGIL Vicente
1–2
W
MoreirensevGIL Vicente
0–1
W
GIL VicentevMaritimo
1–1
D
BenficavGIL Vicente
3–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Primeira Liga (Portugal) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC PortoFC Porto
10
10
0
0
+21
30
2
BenficaBenfica
10
8
1
1
+19
25
3
Sporting CPSporting CP
10
6
3
1
+12
21
4
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
10
6
3
1
+9
21
5
AroucaArouca
10
6
2
2
+6
20
6
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
10
6
2
2
+3
20
7
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
10
4
3
3
+1
15
8
SC BragaSC Braga
10
4
2
4
+1
14
9
MoreirenseMoreirense
10
4
2
4
-4
14
10
AlvercaAlverca
10
3
2
5
-1
11
11
FamalicaoFamalicao
10
2
4
4
+0
10
12
EstrelaEstrela
10
2
4
4
-4
10
13
Vitória SCVitória SC
10
2
3
5
+0
9
14
MaritimoMaritimo
10
2
2
6
-12
8
15
NacionalNacional
10
2
1
7
-9
7
16
Rio AveRio Ave
10
2
1
7
-14
7
17
Casa PiaCasa Pia
10
2
1
7
-14
7
18
EstorilEstoril
10
0
2
8
-14
2