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Super League (Switzerland)
·
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
4th · 13 pts·DLLWL
vs
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1st · 25 pts·WWDWW
The story

Leaders Lugano Face Basel Test in Title Race Clash

Table-topping FC Lugano look to tighten their grip on the title race against a Basel side desperate to close a five-point gap at the summit.

Match news & current form

FC Lugano are currently in total control of the title race, sitting top of the table with 15 points and 17 games remaining. They arrive at St. Jakob-Park in imperious form, riding a five-match winning streak. Their recent run has been defined by clinical efficiency, including a 5-0 demolition of FC Zurich and a gritty 1-0 win over Servette FC last time out.

FC Basel 1893 occupy third place with 10 points and remain firmly in the title conversation, but their momentum has stalled. Fabio Celestini’s side has struggled for consistency, recording just two wins from their last five outings. A disappointing 2-1 home defeat to FC Sion and a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Young Boys have highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that the league leaders will look to exploit.

Hot stats & streaks
  • FC Lugano have won five matches in a row, scoring 14 goals in that period.
  • FC Basel have struggled at home recently, losing two of their last three matches at St. Jakob-Park.
  • Under 3.5 goals have been scored in five of FC Basel's last six matches.
  • Lugano have remained unbeaten in their last four away fixtures across all competitions.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported. FC Basel will look to Kevin Behrens to provide the clinical edge up front after his recent goal-scoring contributions, while Lugano’s defensive stability—anchored by El Wafi and Brault-Guillard—remains the foundation of their current winning streak.

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Our model prices every market we cover on FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
FC Basel 18931.1
2.7FC Lugano
Season average total: 3.80 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
FC Basel 1893 winDrawFC Lugano win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or FC Lugano
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

FC Basel 1893
1437
FC Lugano
1450

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893FC LuganoFC Lugano
1.89Goals scored / game3.00
1.89Goals conceded / game0.78
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — FC Basel 1893 9 games, FC Lugano 9 games.

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893FC LuganoFC Lugano
11%Games with a clean sheet33%
11%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

FC Basel 1893
1–3
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
4–0
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
1–1
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
0–1
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
3–1
FC Basel 1893
Form check

Their recent form.

FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
FC Basel 1893vFC ST. Gallen
1–3
L
FC LuzernvFC Basel 1893
2–4
W
FC Basel 1893vFC Lugano
1–3
L
FC Basel 1893vFC Sion
1–2
L
BSC Young BoysvFC Basel 1893
3–3
D
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
LausannevFC Lugano
0–4
W
FC LuganovFC ST. Gallen
4–1
W
FC LuganovBSC Young Boys
2–2
D
FC Basel 1893vFC Lugano
1–3
W
FC LuganovServette FC
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Super League (Switzerland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC LuganoFC Lugano
9
8
1
0
+20
25
2
BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
9
5
4
0
+13
19
3
FC SionFC Sion
9
6
1
2
+9
19
4
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
9
4
1
4
+0
13
5
FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
9
4
1
4
-3
13
6
FC LuzernFC Luzern
9
3
3
3
-1
12
7
FC ZurichFC Zurich
9
3
2
4
-6
11
8
Servette FCServette FC
9
3
1
5
-2
10
9
FC ThunFC Thun
9
3
1
5
-8
10
10
GrasshoppersGrasshoppers
9
2
2
5
-11
8
11
FC VaduzFC Vaduz
9
2
0
7
-3
6
12
LausanneLausanne
9
1
3
5
-8
6