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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
8th · 43 pts·LLWWD
vs
—
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
6th · 47 pts·WWDLD
The story

Cincinnati host Philadelphia aiming to secure playoff spot

With only two regular-season fixtures remaining, FC Cincinnati can seal their place in the MLS Cup play-offs with a win, but face a sixth-place Philadelphia Union side sitting four points above them.

Match news & current form

Pat Noonan's FC Cincinnati sit eighth on 43 points, occupying a playoff spot just two points clear of the cut-off. Consecutive victories over DC United—winning 2-1 at home and 2-0 on the road last time out—have put qualification firmly in Cincinnati's hands as they open a decisive two-game home stand to close out the campaign.

Philadelphia Union, managed by Ryan Richter, arrive in sixth place on 47 points, holding a comfortable six-point cushion above the cut line. The Union were held to a 0-0 draw at Nashville SC on Wednesday and have won two of their last five matches as they look to cement their seeding for the post-season.

Head-to-head history

Philadelphia hold the upper hand in recent encounters, having won three of the past five meetings. That includes an emphatic 5-0 thrashing of Cincinnati when the sides met on 9 September 2026, alongside a 1-0 away victory at TQL Stadium in August 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Cincinnati have hit 66 goals in MLS play this season, setting a new club record.
  • Philadelphia dismantled Cincinnati 5-0 in the most recent meeting between the clubs in September.
  • Cincinnati have won back-to-back league fixtures after previously suffering consecutive home defeats.
Key players & missing men

The hosts are severely depleted in defence with J. Malatini, M. Robinson, E. Echenique, and T. Malacia all ruled out, placing extra responsibility on goalkeeper Roman Celentano and playmaker Evander. Philadelphia will travel without J. Bueno, D. Jean Jacques, and attacker M. Iloski, but can rely on veteran goalkeeper Andre Blake between the posts.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
FC Cincinnati2.3
–
2.1Philadelphia Union
Season average total: 4.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
FC Cincinnati winDrawPhiladelphia Union win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Philadelphia Union
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
2.06Goals scored / game1.94
2.28Goals conceded / game1.56
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — FC Cincinnati 32 games, Philadelphia Union 32 games.

FC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
9%Games with a clean sheet22%
16%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Philadelphia Union
5–0
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
0–1
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
4–1
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
4–1
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
1–2
FC Cincinnati
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

FC Cincinnati
J. Malatini
Out · Thigh Injury
FC Cincinnati
M. Robinson
Out · Leg Injury
FC Cincinnati
E. Echenique
Doubt · Leg Injury
FC Cincinnati
T. Malacia
Doubt · Ankle Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Inter MiamivFC Cincinnati
2–2
D
DC UnitedvFC Cincinnati
0–2
W
FC CincinnativDC United
2–1
W
FC CincinnativColumbus Crew
0–2
L
FC CincinnativNew England Revolution
2–3
L
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Nashville SCvPhiladelphia Union
0–0
D
Philadelphia UnionvNew England Revolution
1–2
L
Philadelphia UnionvCharlotte
2–2
D
Chicago FirevPhiladelphia Union
1–3
W
Philadelphia UnionvReal Salt Lake
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
32
21
8
3
+43
71
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
32
18
4
10
+10
58
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
32
15
11
6
+20
56
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
32
15
7
10
+9
52
5
CharlotteCharlotte
32
14
8
10
+11
50
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
32
13
8
11
+12
47
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
32
12
7
13
-12
43
8
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
32
11
10
11
-7
43
9
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
32
12
5
15
+3
41
10
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
32
11
6
15
-16
39
11
Toronto FCToronto FC
32
9
12
11
-10
39
12
New York City FCNew York City FC
32
9
11
12
+3
38
13
DC UnitedDC United
32
7
12
13
-18
33
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
32
8
6
18
-16
30
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
32
6
7
19
-30
25