Winlytics.AI
Full time
Superliga (Denmark)
·
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
2nd · 19 pts·DWDWD
vs
Randers FC
Randers FC
8th · 10 pts·LWWLL
The story

Midtjylland chase title pace as Randers eye Europe

Third-placed FC Midtjylland look to close the three-point gap on the Superliga leaders while Randers FC aim to break into the European spots.

Match news & current form

FC Midtjylland enter this clash sitting 3rd on 7 points, firmly in the title race with 19 games remaining. They remain unbeaten in their last three league outings, most recently securing a 2-1 home victory over AC Horsens before a 1-1 draw away at Lyngby. Manager Mike Tullberg has overseen a tactical shift since his appointment, leading a side that has proven particularly formidable on home soil.

Randers FC occupy 8th place with 4 points but remain just one win away from the European qualification places. Their recent form has been mixed, suffering a heavy 0-4 defeat to FC Copenhagen last time out, which followed a solid 2-0 win over Lyngby. Despite the recent setback, Rasmus Bertelsen’s side remains a dangerous counter-attacking threat, specifically designed to exploit wide channels.

Head-to-head history

Recent history suggests a competitive rivalry; Randers stunned Midtjylland with a 3-2 away victory in a friendly encounter just two months ago. While Midtjylland traditionally hold the upper hand in league meetings, that recent five-goal thriller highlights the visitors' ability to breach the Midtjylland backline.

Hot stats & streaks
  • FC Midtjylland remain unbeaten at home in the Superliga so far this season.
  • Randers FC recently ended a three-game winning streak across all competitions following their loss to Copenhagen.
  • The hosts have averaged over three goals per match in their recent home league fixtures.
  • Randers have struggled for consistency on the road, recording two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five away trips.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength with no fresh injuries reported for either side. For Midtjylland, the focus remains on their clinical home efficiency under Tullberg’s new system, while Randers will rely on their disciplined pressing and quick transitions to upset the hosts.

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We have published a signal on FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
FC Midtjylland1.9
1.1Randers FC
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
FC Midtjylland winDrawRanders FC win
Market call
Double chance : FC Midtjylland or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

FC Midtjylland
1687
Randers FC
1432

FC Midtjylland are the stronger side — 255 rating points clear of Randers FC.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FC MidtjyllandFC MidtjyllandRanders FCRanders FC
1.89Goals scored / game1.22
1.00Goals conceded / game1.56
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — FC Midtjylland 9 games, Randers FC 9 games.

FC MidtjyllandFC MidtjyllandRanders FCRanders FC
22%Games with a clean sheet22%
0%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

FC Midtjylland
1–0
Randers FC
Randers FC
0–2
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
2–1
Randers FC
FC Midtjylland
2–3
Randers FC
FC Midtjylland
3–2
Randers FC
Form check

Their recent form.

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
OdensevFC Midtjylland
1–1
D
FC MidtjyllandvBrondby
4–1
W
FC MidtjyllandvFC Nordsjaelland
2–2
D
AarhusvFC Midtjylland
0–2
W
SilkeborgvFC Midtjylland
1–1
D
Randers FC
Randers FC
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
SonderjyskevRanders FC
4–2
L
Randers FCvOdense
1–2
L
BrondbyvRanders FC
0–3
W
Randers FCvAarhus
2–1
W
FC MidtjyllandvRanders FC
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Superliga (Denmark) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
9
8
0
1
+15
24
2
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
9
5
4
0
+8
19
3
ViborgViborg
9
5
2
2
+7
17
4
FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland
9
5
2
2
+4
17
5
BrondbyBrondby
9
4
1
4
-3
13
6
AC HorsensAC Horsens
9
3
2
4
-1
11
7
SilkeborgSilkeborg
9
2
4
3
+0
10
8
Randers FCRanders FC
9
3
1
5
-3
10
9
OdenseOdense
9
2
3
4
-6
9
10
LyngbyLyngby
9
1
4
4
-6
7
11
AarhusAarhus
9
0
5
4
-6
5
12
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
9
1
2
6
-9
5