Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 21h
Premier League (Russia)
·
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
6th · 16 pts·LDWDW
vs
—
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
3rd · 25 pts·DWWLW
The story

Orenburg host CSKA Moscow with title race tight

CSKA Moscow look to close the two-point gap on the league leaders, while sixth-placed Orenburg aim to build on their recent away win.

Match news & current form

With 12 games played and 18 still remaining, CSKA Moscow sit third on 25 points, firmly involved in the title race just two points off the summit. However, they arrive having stumbled in their last league outing, suffering a 3-1 away defeat against Dynamo Moscow.

FC Orenburg currently sit sixth on 16 points after a solid sequence of results, picking up two wins and two draws from their last five league fixtures. They enter this clash having secured a 1-0 away victory against Akhmat Grozny, following an emphatic 4-0 home win over Dinamo Makhachkala.

Head-to-head history

The most recent clash came in July 2026, when FC Orenburg claimed a 2-0 home victory over CSKA Moscow. That followed a 2-0 win for CSKA in Moscow in November 2025 and a goalless draw in Orenburg earlier that summer.

Hot stats & streaks
  • CSKA Moscow have seen at least three goals scored in each of their last three matches across all venues.
  • FC Orenburg have suffered only one defeat in their last five league matches.
  • Orenburg secured a 2-0 victory in the last meeting between these two sides in July 2026.
Key players & missing men

Neither club has any missing players reported ahead of the fixture. CSKA will look to Dmitry Igdisamov to manage the midfield tempo and navigate tight spaces on the road.

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We have published a signal on FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
FC Orenburg1.6
–
1.6CSKA Moscow
Season average total: 3.21 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
FC Orenburg winDrawCSKA Moscow win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or CSKA Moscow
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

FC Orenburg
1343
CSKA Moscow
1555

CSKA Moscow are the stronger side — 212 rating points clear of FC Orenburg.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FC OrenburgFC OrenburgCSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
1.17Goals scored / game1.75
1.00Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — FC Orenburg 12 games, CSKA Moscow 12 games.

FC OrenburgFC OrenburgCSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
33%Games with a clean sheet33%
33%Games they failed to score8%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

FC Orenburg
2–0
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
2–0
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
0–0
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
0–2
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
5–1
FC Orenburg
Form check

Their recent form.

FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
AkhmatvFC Orenburg
0–1
W
Rodina MoskvavFC Orenburg
2–2
D
FC OrenburgvDinamo Makhachkala
4–0
W
FC OrenburgvFC Krasnodar
0–0
D
DynamovFC Orenburg
1–0
L
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
CSKA MoscowvSpartak Moscow
2–0
W
DynamovCSKA Moscow
3–1
L
CSKA MoscowvRodina Moskva
3–0
W
Dinamo MakhachkalavCSKA Moscow
1–3
W
CSKA MoscowvRubin
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
ZenitZenit
12
9
0
3
+14
27
2
DynamoDynamo
12
8
1
3
+7
25
3
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
12
7
4
1
+9
25
4
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
12
6
5
1
+6
23
5
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
12
7
2
3
+11
23
6
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
12
3
7
2
+2
16
7
FC RostovFC Rostov
12
4
3
5
-4
15
8
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
12
3
6
3
+0
15
9
BaltikaBaltika
12
3
5
4
+2
14
10
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
12
4
1
7
-7
13
11
RubinRubin
12
2
6
4
-6
12
12
AkronAkron
12
2
6
4
-6
12
13
LokomotivLokomotiv
12
2
5
5
+0
11
14
AkhmatAkhmat
12
2
5
5
-2
11
15
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
12
2
3
7
-14
9
16
FakelFakel
12
1
3
8
-12
6