Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Premier League (Russia)
·
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
9th · 12 pts·WLLWD
vs
—
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
12th · 11 pts·WLDWD
The story

Rostov host Lokomotiv separated by just one point

With 19 games still to play, ninth-placed Rostov host 12th-placed Lokomotiv looking to maintain their slender one-point advantage in the table.

Match news & current form

Rostov sit 9th on 12 points after 11 matches of the 30-game season. They picked up a 1-0 home victory over Akron last time out to snap a poor run that included consecutive 3-0 defeats against Dynamo and Spartak Moscow, leaving them with two wins and three defeats from their last five league outings.

Lokomotiv arrive in 12th on 11 points, positioned just one place and one point behind their hosts with plenty of the campaign remaining. They drew 1-1 at home against Krylia Sovetov in their previous league fixture and have won one, drawn one, and lost three of their last five matches.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these clubs have been evenly contested. Rostov edged the last encounter 1-0 in August 2026, following a 1-1 draw in January 2026. Across their last five clashes, Lokomotiv took a 3-1 away victory in November 2025 and a 3-3 draw in August 2025, after Rostov had secured a 2-0 away win in April 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Lokomotiv have avoided defeat in three of their last five meetings with Rostov.
  • Rostov have suffered three defeats in their last five league matches.
  • Lokomotiv have claimed four wins to Rostov's two across their last ten encounters.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported any fresh injury or suspension concerns ahead of the fixture, leaving both managers with full squads at their disposal.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
FC Rostov1.3
–
1.5Lokomotiv
Season average total: 2.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
FC Rostov winDrawLokomotiv win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Lokomotiv
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

FC Rostov
1425
Lokomotiv
1555

Lokomotiv are the stronger side — 131 rating points clear of FC Rostov.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FC RostovFC RostovLokomotivLokomotiv
1.00Goals scored / game1.45
1.55Goals conceded / game1.27
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — FC Rostov 11 games, Lokomotiv 11 games.

FC RostovFC RostovLokomotivLokomotiv
27%Games with a clean sheet27%
45%Games they failed to score18%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

FC Rostov
1–0
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
1–1
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
1–3
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
3–3
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
0–2
FC Rostov
Form check

Their recent form.

FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
BaltikavFC Rostov
0–0
D
FC RostovvAkron
1–0
W
FC RostovvDynamo
0–3
L
Spartak MoscowvFC Rostov
3–0
L
FC RostovvFakel
3–1
W
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
LokomotivvFC Krasnodar
3–3
D
FakelvLokomotiv
0–5
W
LokomotivvKrylia Sovetov
1–1
D
ZenitvLokomotiv
2–1
L
BaltikavLokomotiv
0–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
DynamoDynamo
11
8
1
2
+9
25
2
ZenitZenit
11
8
0
3
+12
24
3
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
11
7
2
2
+13
23
4
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
11
6
4
1
+7
22
5
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
11
6
4
1
+6
22
6
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
11
2
7
2
+1
13
7
BaltikaBaltika
11
3
4
4
+2
13
8
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
11
4
1
6
-5
13
9
FC RostovFC Rostov
11
3
3
5
-6
12
10
RubinRubin
11
2
6
3
-4
12
11
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
11
2
6
3
-2
12
12
LokomotivLokomotiv
11
2
5
4
+2
11
13
AkhmatAkhmat
11
2
5
4
-1
11
14
AkronAkron
11
1
6
4
-8
9
15
FakelFakel
11
1
3
7
-11
6
16
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
11
1
3
7
-15
6