With 19 games still to play, ninth-placed Rostov host 12th-placed Lokomotiv looking to maintain their slender one-point advantage in the table.
Rostov sit 9th on 12 points after 11 matches of the 30-game season. They picked up a 1-0 home victory over Akron last time out to snap a poor run that included consecutive 3-0 defeats against Dynamo and Spartak Moscow, leaving them with two wins and three defeats from their last five league outings.
Lokomotiv arrive in 12th on 11 points, positioned just one place and one point behind their hosts with plenty of the campaign remaining. They drew 1-1 at home against Krylia Sovetov in their previous league fixture and have won one, drawn one, and lost three of their last five matches.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Lokomotiv are the stronger side — 131 rating points clear of FC Rostov.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — FC Rostov 11 games, Lokomotiv 11 games.
Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.