Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 7h
J1 League (Japan)
·
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1st · 30 pts·WWDWW
vs
—
Kashima
Kashima
6th · 23 pts·WWDLW
The story

Leaders FC Tokyo host sixth-placed Kashima at Ajinomoto Stadium

League leaders FC Tokyo look to cement their strong start to the season against a Kashima side aiming to build momentum following a 4-1 victory last time out.

Match news & current form

With 13 of 38 matches played, FC Tokyo sit top of the table on 30 points after an impressive opening stretch. They enter this fixture in formidable shape, winning four and drawing one of their last five, which includes a 6-0 thrashing of Mito Hollyhock and a commanding 4-0 away win against Tokyo Verdy.

Kashima occupy sixth place on 23 points, maintaining touch with the leading pack after 13 matches. They rebounded strongly from a 3-2 defeat against Kashiwa Reysol by brushing aside Cerezo Osaka 4-1 in their previous game, taking their recent return to three wins from their last five matches.

Head-to-head history

Kashima have dominated recent meetings between the two clubs. FC Tokyo are winless in their last five encounters against Kashima, falling to a 1-0 defeat in their most recent clash in May 2026 and losing four of those five fixtures.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Kashima are unbeaten in their last five meetings with FC Tokyo, winning four and drawing one.
  • FC Tokyo have won four of their last five matches, keeping clean sheets in all four victories.
  • Kashima's last three fixtures have produced a total of 14 goals, averaging over 4.5 goals per match in that span.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported any fresh absences or suspensions ahead of kickoff, leaving both managers with full squads to select from as their attacking units hit peak form.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
FC Tokyo2.2
–
1.5Kashima
Season average total: 3.76 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
FC Tokyo winDrawKashima win
Market call
Winner : FC Tokyo
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FC TokyoFC TokyoKashimaKashima
2.38Goals scored / game2.23
0.62Goals conceded / game1.69
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — FC Tokyo 13 games, Kashima 13 games.

FC TokyoFC TokyoKashimaKashima
77%Games with a clean sheet23%
8%Games they failed to score8%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Kashima
1–0
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1–1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
0–1
Kashima
Kashima
2–0
FC Tokyo
Kashima
2–1
FC Tokyo
Form check

Their recent form.

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
Fagiano OkayamavFC Tokyo
0–4
W
FC TokyovMito Hollyhock
6–0
W
FC TokyovKashiwa Reysol
0–0
D
Tokyo VerdyvFC Tokyo
0–4
W
FC TokyovUrawa
3–0
W
Kashima
Kashima
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
KashimavCerezo Osaka
4–1
W
KashimavKashiwa Reysol
2–3
L
Kyoto SangavKashima
2–2
D
KashimavV-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
KashimavGamba Osaka
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

J1 League (Japan) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC TokyoFC Tokyo
13
9
3
1
+23
30
2
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
13
9
2
2
+22
29
3
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
13
8
4
1
+20
28
4
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
13
9
1
3
+10
28
5
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
13
8
2
3
+9
26
6
KashimaKashima
13
7
2
4
+7
23
7
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
13
6
4
3
+5
22
8
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
13
5
6
2
+6
21
9
UrawaUrawa
13
7
0
6
-6
21
10
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
13
5
1
7
-6
16
11
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
13
4
2
7
-6
14
12
Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
13
3
5
5
-10
14
13
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
13
4
2
7
-12
14
14
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
13
3
4
6
-6
13
15
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
13
3
3
7
-5
12
16
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
13
2
6
5
-7
12
17
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
13
2
5
6
-11
11
18
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
13
2
4
7
-9
10
19
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
13
2
3
8
-13
9
20
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
13
2
1
10
-11
7