Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 7h
Eredivisie (Netherlands)
·
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
6th · 15 pts·WLWDD
vs
—
Excelsior
Excelsior
10th · 11 pts·DLDLL
The story

Fortuna Sittard face Excelsior after contrasting early starts

Fortuna Sittard aim to consolidate their positive start to the campaign when they host an Excelsior side looking to bounce back into the top half.

Match news & current form

Fortuna Sittard sit sixth on 15 points after nine games, having made a strong start to the season with three wins from their last five outings. They were held to a 1-1 draw at home against Twente last time out, following on from a 1-0 away victory at Willem II.

Excelsior sit tenth on 11 points after nine games as they continue to find their feet. They arrive off the back of a heavy 5-1 home defeat to Groningen, though their recent away form has been resilient, including 2-2 draws at both Ajax and NEC Nijmegen alongside a 3-0 win at Willem II.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between the two clubs have been competitive and shared evenly. Fortuna Sittard won the most recent encounter 2-1 in February 2026, avenging a 1-0 defeat at Excelsior in October 2025. Fortuna also took a high-scoring 5-2 victory at home in March 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Fortuna Sittard have won three of their last five league matches.
  • Excelsior have scored at least twice in each of their last three away fixtures.
  • Fortuna Sittard have scored seven goals across their last two home encounters against Excelsior.
Key players & missing men

Fortuna Sittard must cope without several players, with R. Bayram, I. Marquez, Y. Oukili, and J. Dahlhaus all sidelined, while Mattijs Branderhorst is set to continue his run as first-choice goalkeeper having started the last five matches. Excelsior travel with no reported injury concerns.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Fortuna Sittard1.4
–
2.2Excelsior
Season average total: 3.65 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Fortuna Sittard winDrawExcelsior win
Market call
Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Fortuna Sittard
1383
Excelsior
1377

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Fortuna SittardFortuna SittardExcelsiorExcelsior
1.78Goals scored / game1.78
1.89Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Fortuna Sittard 9 games, Excelsior 9 games.

Fortuna SittardFortuna SittardExcelsiorExcelsior
11%Games with a clean sheet22%
11%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Fortuna Sittard
2–1
Excelsior
Excelsior
1–0
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
5–2
Excelsior
Excelsior
2–2
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
3–0
Fortuna Sittard
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Fortuna Sittard
R. Bayram
Out · Knee Injury
Fortuna Sittard
I. Marquez
Out · Injury
Fortuna Sittard
Y. Oukili
Out · Groin Injury
Fortuna Sittard
J. Dahlhaus
Doubt · Inactive
Form check

Their recent form.

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
NEC NijmegenvFortuna Sittard
2–2
D
Fortuna SittardvTwente
1–1
D
Willem IIvFortuna Sittard
0–1
W
Fortuna SittardvAjax
1–5
L
ADO Den HaagvFortuna Sittard
2–3
W
Excelsior
Excelsior
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
HeerenveenvExcelsior
4–0
L
ExcelsiorvGroningen
1–5
L
AjaxvExcelsior
2–2
D
ExcelsiorvUtrecht
1–2
L
NEC NijmegenvExcelsior
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eredivisie (Netherlands) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FeyenoordFeyenoord
9
7
2
0
+21
23
2
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
9
6
2
1
+10
20
3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
9
6
1
2
+15
19
4
AjaxAjax
9
5
3
1
+15
18
5
TwenteTwente
9
5
2
2
+7
17
6
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
9
4
3
2
-1
15
7
GroningenGroningen
9
4
2
3
+3
14
8
HeerenveenHeerenveen
9
3
3
3
+4
12
9
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
9
2
5
2
-1
11
10
ExcelsiorExcelsior
9
3
2
4
-2
11
11
UtrechtUtrecht
9
3
2
4
-10
11
12
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
9
2
4
3
-1
10
13
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
9
2
3
4
-6
9
14
CambuurCambuur
9
2
3
4
-8
9
15
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
9
2
1
6
-12
7
16
TelstarTelstar
9
1
3
5
-8
6
17
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
9
1
3
5
-9
6
18
Willem IIWillem II
9
0
2
7
-17
2