Lillestrom travel to Fredrikstad Stadion looking to defend their European qualification spot against a home side only three points adrift of the top six.
Fredrikstad sit 10th in the Eliteserien with 14 points, but the table remains congested; a win here could move them within touching distance of the European places. They have found consistency at home recently, securing successive victories at Fredrikstad Stadion against Start and Ham-Kam.
Lillestrom occupy 4th place and currently hold a continental qualification spot, yet their momentum stalled before the season break. Hans Erik Odegaard's side have suffered three defeats in their last five outings, including a 2-0 loss to Ham-Kam last time out, leaving them desperate to rediscover the form that has seen them claim the league's third-best away record.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Fredrikstad are the stronger side — 49 rating points clear of Lillestrom.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Fredrikstad 21 games, Lillestrom 21 games.
Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.