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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
8th · 28 pts·WWLDD
vs
Start
Start
16th · 16 pts·LWLWL
The story

Relegation rivals clash as Fredrikstad host bottom-side Start

A critical survival battle sees 12th-placed Fredrikstad look to pull clear of the drop zone against a Start side anchored to the bottom of the table.

Match news & current form

Fredrikstad enter this fixture 12th on 11 points, sitting just one point above the relegation zone with 20 games left to play. After a bruising run of three consecutive defeats against Viking, Brann, and Sarpsborg 08, they have steadied the ship with four points from their last two matches, most recently drawing 1-1 away at Sandefjord.

Start remain bottom of the Eliteserien on 7 points, five points adrift of safety. Despite their league position, they carry momentum into this trip following a vital 2-0 win over Valerenga. That result was a much-needed response to a disastrous spell where they conceded 11 goals in back-to-back defeats against Bodo/Glimt and Viking.

Head-to-head history

Historical encounters between these two have often been high-scoring affairs, including a 6-2 Fredrikstad victory in late 2021. However, Start have become a difficult opponent for the hosts recently, successfully finding the net in each of their last three meetings against Fredrikstad.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Start have scored in three consecutive matches against Fredrikstad.
  • Fredrikstad are unbeaten in their last two league games following a three-match losing streak.
  • Start have conceded five or more goals in two of their last five league outings.
  • Fredrikstad sit only one point above the relegation places with survival not yet secured.
Key players & missing men

Start are dealing with a significant availability crisis, missing five personnel including goalkeeper J. Torkildsen and E. Schulze. J. Meyer, M. Nordal, and K. Tonnesen also remain sidelined. Fredrikstad are not without their own issues, missing the Owusu duo (S. and L. Owusu) along with S. Kvile and J. Nunez.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Fredrikstad vs Start and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Fredrikstad2.0
1.0Start
Season average total: 2.98 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Fredrikstad winDrawStart win
Market call
Double chance : Fredrikstad or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Fredrikstad
1413
Start
1295

Fredrikstad are the stronger side — 118 rating points clear of Start.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FredrikstadFredrikstadStartStart
1.19Goals scored / game1.05
1.52Goals conceded / game2.10
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Fredrikstad 21 games, Start 21 games.

FredrikstadFredrikstadStartStart
14%Games with a clean sheet10%
24%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Start
0–1
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
2–1
Start
Start
2–2
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
3–1
Start
Start
1–0
Fredrikstad
Form check

Their recent form.

Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
ValerengavFredrikstad
1–1
D
FredrikstadvSarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
FredrikstadvBodo/Glimt
1–2
L
LillestromvFredrikstad
1–4
W
FredrikstadvKristiansund BK
1–0
W
Start
Start
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
SandefjordvStart
3–0
L
StartvBrann
2–0
W
AalesundvStart
2–0
L
StartvKFUM Oslo
4–1
W
StartvFredrikstad
0–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16