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Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Fulham
Fulham
19th · 2 pts·LLLDD
vs
—
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
15th · 4 pts·LLWLD
The story

Arbeloa and Sage seek first points at the Cottage

Both Fulham and Crystal Palace enter Matchday 3 languishing in the relegation zone, desperate for their first points of the 2026/27 Premier League campaign.

Match news & current form

Fulham sit 16th after consecutive defeats to Chelsea and Sunderland. New manager Alvaro Arbeloa is under immediate pressure to find a result at Craven Cottage, especially with daunting fixtures against Liverpool and Manchester United looming before the international break.

Crystal Palace occupy 18th place following a difficult start under Pierre Sage. After a 2-0 opening day loss at Everton, the Eagles were soundly beaten 4-1 by Manchester City last time out. Like their hosts, Palace are yet to register a point and are fighting to climb out of the bottom three.

Head-to-head history

Palace have dominated this fixture recently, losing only one of their last eight matches against Fulham. The Eagles have won three of the last four encounters, including a 2-1 victory at Craven Cottage last season.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Fulham have lost both opening matches of the 2026/27 season.
  • Crystal Palace have recorded a -5 goal differential across their first two fixtures.
  • Fulham have only beaten Palace once in their last eight attempts.
  • Both managers are searching for their first career Premier League victory.
Key players & missing men

Fulham will be without veteran midfielder Tom Cairney, who is sidelined until mid-October with a knee injury. Shea Charles is tipped for his first start in midfield, which could see Alex Iwobi moved to a wider role. Crystal Palace face a significant injury crisis with Chadi Riad, Jean-Philippe Mateta, and Ismaila Sarr all ruled out.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Fulham vs Crystal Palace — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Fulham vs Crystal Palace and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Fulham1.5
–
1.7Crystal Palace
Season average total: 3.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Fulham winDrawCrystal Palace win
Market call
Double chance : Fulham or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Fulham
1813
Crystal Palace
1804

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

FulhamFulham
Goals scored
0.90
Expected (xG)
1.44
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Goals scored
1.10
Expected (xG)
1.48
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

FulhamFulhamCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1.00Goals scored / game1.20
1.60Goals conceded / game2.20
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Fulham 5 games, Crystal Palace 5 games.

FulhamFulhamCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
20%Games with a clean sheet20%
40%Games they failed to score40%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Fulham
2–3
Crystal Palace
Fulham
1–2
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1–1
Fulham
Fulham
1–2
Crystal Palace
Fulham
0–3
Crystal Palace
Form check

Their recent form.

Fulham
Fulham
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
FulhamvManchester United
1–1
D
LiverpoolvFulham
0–0
D
FulhamvCrystal Palace
2–3
L
SunderlandvFulham
1–0
L
FulhamvChelsea
2–3
L
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
Crystal PalacevIpswich
2–3
L
FulhamvCrystal Palace
2–3
W
Crystal PalacevManchester City
1–4
L
EvertonvCrystal Palace
2–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2