Winlytics.AI
Full time
Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Gais
Gais
10th · 30 pts·LWDLW
vs
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
5th · 36 pts·WLDDW
The story

Gais hunt European spot as Hacken defend continental standing

A pivotal mid-table clash sees Gais looking to close a five-point gap on the European places against fifth-placed BK Hacken.

Match news & current form

Gais enter this fixture 9th in the table on 26 points, knowing a win would significantly boost their late-season push for a European berth with 11 games remaining. Their form has been a mixture of extremes; while they suffered narrow defeats to Malmo and Hammarby, they recently dismantled IF Brommapojkarna 4-0 at home and secured four points from a double-header against Halmstad.

BK Hacken currently occupy 5th place with 31 points, holding onto a continental qualification spot. However, their momentum took a hit last time out with a disappointing 1-3 home loss to Vasteras SK. Despite that setback, away wins like their 3-0 triumph over Sirius demonstrate a side that remains highly dangerous on their travels.

Head-to-head history

Historical meetings between these two Gothenburg rivals have often been closely contested, with recent analysis suggesting a high probability of both teams finding the net. While Hacken have traditionally held a slight edge in win probability, Gais have proven difficult to break down in recent encounters.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Gais have kept clean sheets in two of their last four matches, including a 4-0 rout in their last home outing.
  • BK Hacken have seen over 2.5 goals in their most recent fixture, continuing a trend of high-scoring games.
  • Gais have avoided defeat in three of their last five Allsvenskan matches.
  • Hacken have struggled for consistency, recording two wins, two losses, and a draw in their previous five league games.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at near-full strength with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported in the official absences list. Gais will rely on the momentum from their four-goal showing against Brommapojkarna, while Hacken look to rediscover the clinical edge that saw them net three times against Sirius.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Gais vs BK Hacken and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Gais1.3
1.1BK Hacken
Season average total: 2.41 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Gais winDrawBK Hacken win
Market call
Double chance : Gais or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Gais
1387
BK Hacken
1383

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

GaisGaisBK HackenBK Hacken
1.27Goals scored / game1.77
0.91Goals conceded / game1.36
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Gais 22 games, BK Hacken 22 games.

GaisGaisBK HackenBK Hacken
45%Games with a clean sheet36%
32%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Gais
0–0
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
2–1
Gais
Gais
2–1
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
1–3
Gais
BK Hacken
1–2
Gais
Form check

Their recent form.

Gais
Gais
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Mjallby AIFvGais
0–3
W
Djurgardens IFvGais
2–0
L
GaisvBK Hacken
0–0
D
GaisvIF Brommapojkarna
4–0
W
Hammarby FFvGais
2–0
L
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Kalmar FFvBK Hacken
0–5
W
BK HackenvMjallby AIF
1–1
D
GaisvBK Hacken
0–0
D
BK HackenvVasteras SK FK
1–3
L
SiriusvBK Hacken
0–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
22
16
3
3
+24
51
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
22
13
4
5
+29
43
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
22
13
2
7
+26
41
4
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
22
10
7
5
+9
37
5
BK HackenBK Hacken
22
9
9
4
+9
36
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
22
10
5
7
-1
35
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
22
10
3
9
+4
33
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
22
9
6
7
-3
33
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
22
9
5
8
-10
32
10
GaisGais
22
8
6
8
+8
30
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
22
7
6
9
-6
27
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
22
5
7
10
-11
22
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
22
3
6
13
-24
15
16
HalmstadHalmstad
22
3
5
14
-24
14