Winlytics.AI
Full time
Pro League (Belgium)
·
Genk
Genk
10th · 9 pts·DWDDL
vs
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
8th · 10 pts·LDWWW
The story

Relegation zone battle as Genk host struggling Westerlo

Both sides enter this early-season clash desperate for their first points of the campaign to climb out of the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Genk sit 12th in the table with 0 points after an opening weekend 2-1 defeat away at Zulte Waregem. With 33 games remaining to secure their top-flight status, they return to the Cegeka Arena looking to replicate the 'incredible run' that previously put them in prime positions during the 2024/25 campaign.

KVC Westerlo occupy 18th place following a bruising 5-1 loss at home to Union St. Gilloise. The visitors are currently on a difficult trajectory, with recent reports highlighting a winless streak that has stretched to eight matches, compounded by one of the poorest defensive records in the division.

Head-to-head history

Genk have dominated the most recent meeting between these two clubs, securing a convincing 3-0 victory on May 10th, 2026. Historically, Genk hold the upper hand in this fixture, winning two of the last five encounters, while Westerlo have struggled to find consistency against the Smurfen.

Hot stats & streaks
  • KVC Westerlo are currently on an eight-match winless streak in league competition.
  • Genk won the last meeting between these two sides by a three-goal margin.
  • Westerlo conceded five goals in their opening fixture of the 2026 season.
  • Two of the last three head-to-head meetings have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Key players & missing men

Both managers currently report no fresh injury concerns, leaving full squads available for selection. Genk will rely on the momentum of their home support at the Cegeka Arena, while Westerlo must find a way to shore up a backline that has looked vulnerable against high-pressing opposition in recent weeks.

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We have published a signal on Genk vs KVC Westerlo — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Genk vs KVC Westerlo and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Genk2.2
1.5KVC Westerlo
Season average total: 3.71 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Genk winDrawKVC Westerlo win
Market call
Double chance : Genk or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Genk
1581
KVC Westerlo
1475

Genk are the stronger side — 106 rating points clear of KVC Westerlo.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

GenkGenkKVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
1.86Goals scored / game2.14
1.71Goals conceded / game2.29
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Genk 7 games, KVC Westerlo 7 games.

GenkGenkKVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
29%Games with a clean sheet29%
29%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Genk
3–2
KVC Westerlo
Genk
3–0
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
1–2
Genk
Genk
1–1
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
0–1
Genk
Form check

Their recent form.

Genk
Genk
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
Club Brugge KVvGenk
3–0
L
GenkvGent
1–1
D
AnderlechtvGenk
0–0
D
GenkvSK Beveren
4–0
W
AntwerpvGenk
4–4
D
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
St. TruidenvKVC Westerlo
0–2
W
KVC WesterlovStandard Liege
4–2
W
KV MechelenvKVC Westerlo
0–4
W
KVC WesterlovZulte Waregem
2–2
D
Lommel UnitedvKVC Westerlo
4–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3